Match Info

Date: 16 April 2022, Saturday


	Académica Coimbra		Penafiel

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.6
	2.35	3	2.85
	2.35	3.05	2.88
	2.5	3.1	2.7
	2.59	3.46	2.79
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.48	3.3	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.29)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)	2.74 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
37.5%

Draw
29%

Penafiel
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

29.8%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

30.7%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-5%)

Académica Coimbra - Penafiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Académica won 3.

Académica has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Penafiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Académica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Académica won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
10.04.22	Covilhã - Académica Coimbra	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Académica Coimbra - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
20.03.22	Nacional - Académica Coimbra	3:1 ✺
11.03.22	Académica Coimbra - Benfica B	3:4 ✺
06.03.22	Porto B - Académica Coimbra	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLLT
- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
08.04.22	Penafiel - Varzim	4:1 ✺
01.04.22	Leixões - Penafiel	0:1 ✺
19.03.22	Penafiel - Farense	1:3 ✺
12.03.22	Rio Ave - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
06.03.22	Penafiel - Chaves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
05.12.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	0:0
07.03.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	1:2
18.10.20	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	2:1
05.03.20	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	3:0
26.10.19	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	0:0
02.03.19	Académica Coimbra - Penafiel	2:1
29.10.18	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	2:1

Upcoming Matches