Match Info

Date: 19 January 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Académica Coimbra		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.65	Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.68
	4.2	3.8	1.65
	6	4.1	1.5
	4.91	3.97	1.72
	6	3.75	1.47
	4.65	3.76	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (2.82)	3.78 ↑ (3.06)	1.62 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
18.2%

Draw
24.5%

Rio Ave
57.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

21.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Académica Coimbra's form might have worsened.

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Ave's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Académica Coimbra, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.2%	12.4%	82.5%

Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 97 users predict this event. Académica will win (votes: 5 - 5.2%). Rio Ave will win (votes: 80 - 82.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 12.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rio Ave: 74.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 6).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Rio Ave could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rio Ave is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Académica won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
28.12.21	Académica Coimbra - Trofense	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Mafra - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
12.12.21	Académica Coimbra - Chaves	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTLTW
- Rio Ave FC
Taça de Portugal
12.01.22	Rio Ave - Tondela	0:1 ET ✺
23.12.21	Rio Ave - BSAD	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
19.12.21	Casa Pia - Rio Ave	0:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
15.12.21	Porto - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
11.12.21	Rio Ave - Mafra	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.08.21	Rio Ave - Académica Coimbra	5:1
Liga Portugal
20.02.16	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	0:2
28.09.15	Rio Ave - Académica Coimbra	1:0
Club Friendly
08.08.15	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:1
Liga Portugal
03.04.15	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
21.01.15	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:0
Liga Portugal
10.11.14	Rio Ave - Académica Coimbra	3:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
01.11.26	Vizela - Académica Coimbra	✺
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
01.11.26	Académico de Viseu - Rio Ave	✺

Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave