Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Académica Coimbra		Chaves

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	2.8
	2.4	3.25	2.7
	2.48	3.05	2.7
	2.36	3.05	2.95
	2.47	3.38	3.01
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.41	3.2	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.53)	3.18 ↑ (2.95)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académica Coimbra
38.3%

Draw
29.1%

Chaves
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

22.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académica Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académica Coimbra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chaves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Académica Coimbra - Chaves Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).

Académica is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chaves is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chaves could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Académica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Académica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
05.12.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
28.11.21	Académica Coimbra - Covilhã	3:0 ✺
21.11.21	Académica Coimbra - Porto B	1:2 ✺
06.11.21	Casa Pia - Académica Coimbra	2:0 ✺
01.11.21	Académica Coimbra - Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLLL
- Desportivo Chaves
Portuguese Liga 2
05.12.21	Covilhã - Chaves	0:2 ✺
27.11.21	Chaves - Mafra	0:1 ✺
08.11.21	Nacional - Chaves	1:1 ✺
29.10.21	Chaves - Trofense	0:0 ✺
23.10.21	Casa Pia - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
24.04.21	Académica Coimbra - Chaves	2:1
27.12.20	Chaves - Académica Coimbra	2:1
09.02.20	Chaves - Académica Coimbra	1:2
24.08.19	Académica Coimbra - Chaves	1:2

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