Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio do Fontelo (Viseu)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)


	Académico de Viseu		Leiria

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	4.1
	1.92	3.25	3.95
	1.94	3.32	4.03	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.87	3.33	4.26	Watch
	1.86	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.77)	3.24 ↓ (3.53)	4.09 ↓ (4.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
49.1%

Draw
28.4%

Leiria
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.7%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Académico de Viseu - Leiria Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Académico de Viseu will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Académico de Viseu will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 9. Robinho 41. Correia A. 2. Michelis N. 57. Costa G. 14. Messeguem S. 7. Silva L. (C) 32. Zamora A. 17. Kahraman C. 31. Joao Guilherme 33. Andre Clovis	99. Odehnal J. (G) 68. Maga 16. Ze Pedro 44. Marcelo 3. Baro M. 21. Pires M. 41. Daniel Borges 19. Fernandez P. 9. Munoz J. (C) 88. Martins D. 86. Michel D.
Substitutes
1. Bruno Brigido (G) 21. Domingos T. 47. Gohi L. 16. Guedes R. 8. Kone S. 5. Pedro Barcelos 44. Pereira R. 78. Silva B. 55. Silva T.	25. Amado D. 20. Gomes B. 98. Joao Bravim (G) 8. Kouassi E. 17. Lucho Vega 80. Quilma 78. Santos J. 15. Silva J. 10. van der Gaag J.
Coaches
Fonseca S.	Pereira F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Michel D. 🟨,
37', Messeguem S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Andre Clovis ⚽,
62', Michel D. ↓, van der Gaag J. ↑,
70', Daniel Borges 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
72', Joao Guilherme 🟨,
72', Pires M. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
83', Baro M. 🟨,
85', Joao Guilherme ↓, Silva B. ↑,
85', Kahraman C. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
86', Baro M. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
86', Martins D. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
89', Marcelo 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 0, Andre Clovis ⚽,
90+4', Silva L. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
90+4', Andre Clovis ↓, Gohi L. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Viseu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Leiria has had a series of away games.

In this match, Viseu is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Viseu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Viseu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Leiria	6	3	1	2	10:7	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
04.01.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Académico de Viseu	1:2 ✺
28.12.25	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Vizela - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Académico de Viseu - Farense	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Feirense - Académico de Viseu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTWT
- UD Leiria
Taça de Portugal
11.01.26	Torreense - Leiria	3:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
03.01.26	Feirense - Leiria	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Farense - Leiria	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.12.25	Vila Meã - Leiria	0:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.12.25	Leiria - Felgueiras	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.08.25	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	3:2
17.02.25	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	1:1
14.09.24	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	0:1
13.05.24	Leiria - Académico de Viseu	3:0
06.01.24	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	1:0
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	1:3

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