The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Anzoátegui 19.2%
Draw 24.8%
Carabobo 56.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.8%
25.4%
52.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.6%
25.2%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Anzoátegui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Academia Anzoátegui than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Academia Anzoátegui - Carabobo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hernandez W. (G) 2. Bonilla P. 14. Bueno D. 22. Guevara D. 16. Silgado J. 7. Marin G. 8. Ruiz E. 5. Pacheco J. 77. Barrios C. 17. Caraballo J. 9. Ortiz C. (C)
1. Silva M. (G) 21. Gonzalez A. (C) 32. Neira E. 4. Aponte L. 8. Perez J. 14. Berios J. 5. Castillo E. 15. Cova M. 11. Machis D. 19. Martinez L. 24. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
13. Aguero J. (G) 20. Castellano J. 15. Diciolla G. 23. Fuentes Alvarez G. E. 18. Lovera J. 55. Moreno A. 11. Navas E. 45. Perez P. 70. Rojas P. 28. Sinza F. 19. Tegues D. 21. Velasco A.
20. Arzu E. 6. Bahachille A. 9. Castillo B. 3. Fuentes J. 2. Guaramato M. 16. Lopez F. 30. Mendoza S. 23. Meza D. 26. Nunez M. 17. Oliveros F. 10. Orozco Y. 12. Roa K. (G)
Coaches
Zuleta M.
Farias D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caraballo J. ↓, Tegues D. ↑,
59', Guevara D. 🟨,
61', Machis D. ↓, Orozco Y. ↑,
66', Ruiz E. ↓, Rojas P. ↑,
66', Marin G. ↓, Castellano J. ↑,
73', Castillo E. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
73', Martinez L. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
81', Barrios C. ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
85', Pacheco J. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
85', Cova M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
86', Ramirez E. ↓, Meza D. ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 4th in the Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
Recent results have been tough for Anzoátegui (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Carabobo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Carabobo carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Anzoátegui has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Anzoátegui against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Carabobo - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.77%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.