The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Academia Puerto Cabello 69.4%
Draw 20.5%
Trujillanos 10.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.8%
23.1%
12.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
22.2%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Academia Puerto Cabello - Trujillanos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Romero L. (G) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. 63. Obradovic S. 16. Rosales R. 15. Saggiomo D. 47. Bamba G. 31. Hernandez J. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 11. Pernia E. (C) 19. Castillo J.
24. Teran L. (G) 3. Umbria Valecillos M. A. 6. Trejo N. 2. Morales B. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 36. Carmona J. 10. Abreu E. 22. Gonzalez K. 23. Fernandez M. 19. Morillo R. 9. Bareiro Munoz F. V.
Substitutes
7. Barros J. 14. Bortagaray G. 30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 5. Gonzalez G. 1. Graterol J. (G) 6. Lima P. 27. Linares H. 20. Marchan J. 17. Martinez J. 8. Moreno J. 9. Ponce A.
4. Chaverra F. 21. Da Silva J. 14. Femia N. 12. Garcia O. (G) 5. Maldonado J. 11. Mosquera L. 15. Ortiz J. 20. Paez J. 17. Polo A. 7. Santos C. 13. Trompetera G.
Coaches
Sarago E.
Vera P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Rosales R. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Castillo J. ⚽, Rosales R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Obradovic S. ↓, Bortagaray G. ↑,
46', Abreu E. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
46', Trejo N. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
46', Morillo R. ↓, Santos C. ↑,
51', Fernandez M. 🟨,
59', Chaverra F. 🟨,
61', 2 - 0, Flores Barrios R. D. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
62', Fernandez M. ↓, Polo A. ↑,
63', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
68', Flores Barrios R. D. ↓, Marchan J. ↑,
68', Hernandez J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
68', Rosales R. ↓, Linares H. ↑,
69', Gonzalez K. ↓, Mosquera L. ↑,
76', Castillo J. ↓, Casiani L. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Femia N. ⚽, Bareiro Munoz F. V. (A),
90+2', Umbria Valecillos M. A. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Vargas J. ⚽,
90+5', Bareiro Munoz F. V. 🟨,
90+5', Casiani L. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 2.
Puerto Cabello is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Trujillanos is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Trujillanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Puerto Cabello is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Puerto Cabello won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Cabello won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
Watch
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Romero L. (G) 
Ramos J. 
Obradovic S. 
Bamba G. 
Bareiro Munoz F. V. 
Barros J. 
Bortagaray G. 
Chaverra F. 
Femia N. 
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