The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trujillanos 30%
Draw 29.4%
Estudiantes de Mérida 40.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.1%
29.8%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
28.5%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trujillanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillanos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Trujillanos - Estudiantes de Mérida Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Teran L. (G) 40. Vivas J. 2. Morales B. 21. Da Silva J. 33. Gonzalez M. (C) 19. Morillo R. 10. Abreu E. 22. Gonzalez K. 36. Carmona J. 18. Mendez J. 17. Polo A.
1. Rojas T. (C) 25. Acosta H. 2. Gutierez J. 4. Rodriguez C. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 16. Lobo J. 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 11. Montero A. 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K. 17. Magallan C.
Substitutes
9. Bareiro Munoz F. V. 14. Femia N. 23. Fernandez M. 12. Garcia O. (G) 99. Livingston D. 5. Maldonado J. 11. Mosquera L. 15. Ortiz J. 20. Paez J. 6. Trejo N. 13. Trompetera G. 3. Umbria Valecillos M. A.
7. Albarran E. 26. Azocar J. 44. Caicedo L. 21. Flores A. 32. Izarra A. 33. Mejias Diego 31. Montes G. 28. Paez M. 10. Pena A. 18. Rivera B. 12. Roberts E. (G) 36. Zambrano N.
Coaches
Vera P.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Gutierez J. 🟨,
19', Montilla Maldonado J. A. 🟨,
34', Acosta H. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Lobo J. ⚽, Acosta H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mendez J. ↓, Bareiro Munoz F. V. ↑,
50', Ramirez Holguin W. S. 🟨,
54', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
60', Montilla Maldonado J. A. ↓, Rivera B. ↑,
61', Montero A. ↓, Albarran E. ↑,
63', Carmona J. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
64', Polo A. ↓, Livingston D. ↑,
64', Vivas J. ↓, Umbria Valecillos M. A. ↑,
68', Morillo R. ↓, Femia N. ↑,
77', Magallan C. ↓, Paez M. ↑,
88', Lobo J. ↓, Mejias Diego ↑,
88', Ivey R. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Quejada K. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 1.
Trujillanos is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Estudiantes Mérida has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Estudiantes Mérida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Estudiantes Mérida will win today's game, with odds of 2.29.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trujillanos won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Trujillanos won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).
Watch
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Teran L. (G) 
Ivey R. 
Quejada K. 
Bareiro Munoz F. V. 
Femia N. 
Caicedo L. 
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