Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Mendez Chavez I. N. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Ecuador	ESPN 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Paraguay	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter


	Cienciano		Academia Puerto Cabello

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.9	5	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.98	4.96
	1.62	4.11	5.23	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.75
	1.64	3.85	4.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.44)	3.89 ↓ (4.5)	4.97 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
57%

Draw
24.1%

Academia Puerto Cabello
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.5%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.5%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cienciano's form might have worsened.

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cienciano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Cienciano - Academia Puerto Cabello Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Puerto Cabello will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cienciano: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cienciano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 13. Nunez C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 16. Martinich M. 11. Bandiera N. 39. Caparo H. 29. Robles A. 10. Hohberg A. 21. Garces C. (C) 7. Souza Espana C.	1. Graterol J. (C) 29. Vargas J. 26. Ramos J. 63. Obradovic S. 14. Bortagaray G. 6. Lima P. 15. Saggiomo D. 5. Gonzalez G. 19. Castillo J. 27. Linares H. 9. Ponce A.
Substitutes
26. Aguilar R. 8. Aguirre G. 88. Barreto G. 14. Cavero S. 99. Colunga N. 1. Falcon G. (G) 37. Rojas A. 9. Romagnoli J. 30. Roncal J. (G) 17. Sandoval R. 19. Succar M. 27. Yovera A.	7. Barros J. 30. Casiani L. 24. Contreras H. 70. Flores Barrios R. D. 31. Hernandez J. 12. Herrera E. (G) 44. Melendez G. 8. Moreno J. 28. Osorio D. 25. Perez A. (G) 37. Pimentel L.
Coaches
Melgarejo H.	Sarago E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Garces C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Martinich M. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
71', Lima P. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
71', Linares H. ↓, Flores Barrios R. D. ↑,
79', 2 - 0, Hohberg A. ⚽,
83', Saggiomo D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
83', Vargas J. ↓, Casiani L. ↑,
83', Bandiera N. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
84', Garces C. ↓, Romagnoli J. ↑,
84', Hohberg A. ↓, Aguilar R. ↑,
87', Moreno J. 🟨,
88', Castillo J. ↓, Pimentel L. ↑,
88', Souza Espana C. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,

Preview

Cienciano has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Puerto Cabello has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cienciano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cienciano is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Cienciano will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cienciano	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.04.26	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
09.03.26	Cienciano - Sport Boys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWWWW
- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
11.04.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Academia Puerto Cabello	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.04.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
04.04.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Carabobo - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Universidad Central	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWLTW

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