Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 1 December 2023, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV5, Sport TV+


	Académico de Viseu		Belenenses

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	5
	1.65	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.76	5.58
	1.69	3.76	5.58
	1.6	3.6	4.5
	1.67	3.7	4.8
	1.67	3.6	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	4.96 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Académico de Viseu
55.7%

Draw
25.5%

Belenenses
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.2%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

23.1%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Académico de Viseu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Belenenses has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Académico de Viseu than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Académico de Viseu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Académico de Viseu - Belenenses Predictions

Users Predictions: Académico de Viseu will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Gril D. (G) 3. Pinto J. 4. Almeida A. (C) 5. Arthur Chaves 77. Gomes H. 6. Messeguem S. 16. Manconi 30. Labila D. 10. Quizera F. 11. Ott G. 33. Andre Clovis	14. Oliveira G. (G) 25. Carvalho P. 13. Serra A. 37. Akas C. 48. Manso T. 19. Valente D. (C) 33. Correia R. 6. Chaby F. 16. Chapi 21. Pina R. 9. Matos R.
Substitutes
28. Bandarra M. 12. Ikoba E. 8. Kone S. 23. Maiga I. 88. Marquinho 51. Momo Mbaye (G) 22. Nduwarugira C. 17. Pereira R. 20. Petkov S.	18. Attard C. 7. Cle 3. Fabao 8. Gomes Tavares D. 22. Grilo D. (G) 77. Keita M. 5. Peres T. 11. Sambu M. 99. Silva M.
Coaches
Simao J.	Faisca V.

Preview

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Viseu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Viseu is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Académico de Viseu
Portuguese Liga 2
25.11.23	Porto B - Académico de Viseu	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Académico de Viseu - Benfica B	1:0 ✺
06.11.23	Paços de Ferreira - Académico de Viseu	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Académico de Viseu - Nacional	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.10.23	Académico de Viseu - Leiria	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLTL
- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 2
19.11.23	Belenenses - Penafiel	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Feirense - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
04.11.23	Belenenses - Vilaverdense	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Leixões - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Belenenses - Gil Vicente	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Upcoming Matches