Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Restelo (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Belenenses		Gil Vicente

	1	X	2
	6	4.2	1.45
	6	4.1	1.44
	6	4.2	1.47	Watch
	6.52	4.15	1.47
	6.25	4.07	1.47
	6.5	4.33	1.4
	6.54	4.3	1.47
	6	4.2	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.23 ↓ (6.34)	4.19 ↑ (4.11)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belenenses
14.8%

Draw
21.9%

Gil Vicente
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

22.3%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.4%

26.1%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gil Vicente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belenenses - Gil Vicente Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Grilo D. (G) 5. Brazido D. 16. Carvalho R. 13. Cuca (C) 23. Fernandes X. 12. Gabriel Passos 6. Maria G. 10. Moninhas T. 21. Morgado T. 9. Pereira R. 11. Sambu M.	99. Araujo B. (G) 9. Aguirre J. 39. Buatu J. 6. Castillo J. 11. Collado D. 57. Cruz S. 19. Garcia S. 18. Joao Teixeira 45. Mawesi J. 26. Ruben (C) 7. Toure T.
Substitutes
7. Conceicao R. 25. Domingues R. 29. Ekanga Ondoa H. O. 8. Gomes Tavares D. 17. Horta Leitao D. 24. Neto T. (G) 4. Tomas N. 14. Varela J. 70. Zakari B.	20. Caue 71. Correia F. 4. Elimbi M. G. 10. Fujimoto K. 24. Gbane M. 51. Gordic M. (G) 88. Kazu 77. Mboula J. 90. Pablo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Cuca 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 0 - 1, Toure T. ⚽,
63', Collado D. 🟨,
65', Fernandes X. ↓, Horta Leitao D. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Aguirre J. ⚽,
67', Cuca ↓, Gomes Tavares D. ↑,
68', Moninhas T. ↓, Varela J. ↑,
68', Sambu M. ↓, Ekanga Ondoa H. O. ↑,
72', Joao Teixeira ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
73', Aguirre J. ↓, Caue ↑,
79', Pereira R. ↓, Zakari B. ↑,
81', Carvalho R. 🟨,
84', Zakari B. 🟨,

Preview

Belenenses is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Gil Vicente is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Including matches at home between the teams Belenenses won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Os Belenenses
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	União de Santarém - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Belenenses - Trofense	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	Belenenses - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Covilhã - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWWT
- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
05.10.24	Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Benfica - Gil Vicente	5:1 ✺
22.09.24	Gil Vicente - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Famalicão - Gil Vicente	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Gil Vicente - Braga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Belenenses - Gil Vicente	1:2

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