Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: La Quema Stadium (Boulogne Sur Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Acassuso		Almirante Brown

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.75	2.82	Watch
	2.82	2.72	2.68
	2.98	2.83	2.89
	3.04	2.54	2.93	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.8
	2.81	2.61	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.81)	2.66 ↑ (2.61)	2.8 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acassuso
32%

Draw
34.9%

Almirante Brown
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

35.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

34.3%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Almirante Brown has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Acassuso - Almirante Brown Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Almirante Brown will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Monllor M. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Bellatti S. D. N. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 8. Dubini K. (C) 5. De Stefano D. 7. Reynoso R. 11. Acosta N. 10. Hermoso A. 9. Rey L.	1. Galvan B. (G) 4. Cardozo E. 2. Levi M. 6. Cabral G. 3. Fernandez R. 7. Abreliano M. 5. Jara L. 8. Altamirano G. 10. Almada T. 9. Martinez E. 11. Bazan N.
Substitutes
12. Atamanuk C. (G) 14. Borges S. 13. Dordoni B. 20. Etcheverri R. 19. Gomez Y. 17. Perez P. 18. Petillo N. 16. Raccio J. 15. Roberts D.	13. Alegre Rojas G. 12. Bottini A. (G) 16. Gauna S. 17. Quignon F. 19. Vega L. 15. Velazquez J. 18. Vera S. 14. Villoldo T. 20. Zarate T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', De Stefano D. 🟨,
16', Altamirano G. 🟨,
26', Ghiraldello J. ↓, Dordoni B. ↑,
41', Cardozo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Almada T. ↓, Zarate T. ↑,
61', Dubini K. ↓, Petillo N. ↑,
61', De Stefano D. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
61', Rey L. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
65', Roberts D. 🟨,
68', Hermoso A. ↓, Etcheverri R. ↑,
70', Martinez E. ↓, Vera S. ↑,
74', Acosta N. 🟨,
79', Bazan N. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
79', Altamirano G. ↓, Gauna S. ↑,
79', Abreliano M. ↓, Quignon F. ↑,
85', Ruiz A. 🟨,
89', Jara L. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 2.

Acassuso has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Almirante Brown has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Acassuso won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.6:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Acassuso won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Almirante Brown - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.27%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Acassuso
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Mitre - Acassuso	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Acassuso - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.04.26	Acassuso - Gimnasia La Plata	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.04.26	All Boys - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Acassuso - Los Andes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLTL
- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.05.26	Almirante Brown - Chaco For Ever	1:0 ✺
28.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Almirante Brown - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Madryn - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Almirante Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
27.12.20	Almirante Brown - Acassuso	2:1
10.11.19	Acassuso - Almirante Brown	0:1
06.05.19	Acassuso - Almirante Brown	0:1
25.11.18	Almirante Brown - Acassuso	0:3
13.04.18	Acassuso - Almirante Brown	1:0
26.11.17	Almirante Brown - Acassuso	0:0
28.05.17	Almirante Brown - Acassuso	0:0

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