The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Acassuso 24.4%
Draw 33.7%
Defensores Unidos 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
32.6%
31.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
32.3%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Acassuso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acassuso's form might have worsened.
Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensores Unidos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acassuso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensores Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
70.8%
12.5%
Acassuso - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Acassuso will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 52.6% – 89%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Acassuso won 0.
Acassuso has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Defensores Unidos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Acassuso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Acassuso won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Acassuso won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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