The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrocarril Midland 32.9%
Draw 33.3%
Quilmes 33.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
30.6%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
30.7%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferrocarril Midland's form might have worsened.
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quilmes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferrocarril Midland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
87.5%
0%
Ferrocarril Midland - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Diaz Laharque L. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Gigli L. 3. Casarico P. 7. Flores M. 5. Violini N. (C) 8. Camano J. 11. Luna R. 10. Roseti M. 9. Perales J.
1. Marinelli G. (G) 2. Rasso I. 5. Bolivar A. 6. Kippes A. 3. Ortega T. 7. Bonacci P. 4. Vallejos M. 8. Yangali J. 11. Vera U. 10. Batista A. 9. Spetale A.
Substitutes
16. Abruzzese M. 18. Bulacio D. 19. Cao R. 14. Castorani P. 12. Escobar L. (G) 17. Madalon V. 20. Marin F. 15. Penepil M. 13. Recalde L.
17. Colazo N. 19. Coronel J. 18. Fernandez M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 20. Lavezzi A. 14. Luna S. 16. Martinez R. 13. Romeo L. 15. Yozwiak F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Flores M. ⚽, Perales J. (A),
56', Gigli L. 🟨,
59', Yangali J. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
65', Perales J. ↓, Penepil M. ↑,
65', Luna R. ↓, Bulacio D. ↑,
68', Bonacci P. ↓, Lavezzi A. ↑,
68', Vera U. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
69', Flores M. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
83', Batista A. 🟨,
85', Roseti M. ↓, Abruzzese M. ↑,
85', Vallejos M. ↓, Coronel J. ↑,
86', Violini N. ↓, Recalde L. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).
In recent matches, Ferrocarril has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Quilmes is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Quilmes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ferrocarril could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ferrocarril won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
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Leguiza M. (G) 
Flores M. 
Glellel E. (G) 
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