The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 25.2%
Draw 24.9%
Salford City 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
26.4%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
25.9%
43.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Salford City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Accrington Stanley - Salford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Salford will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Rogerson J. (G) 25. Smith J. 17. Matthews D. (C) 22. Anderson J. 3. Smith O. 8. Grant C. 10. Henderson A. 20. Brown C. 27. Catesby J. 39. Woods J. 30. Warren C.
26. Burge L. (G) 22. Oluwo A. 15. Cooper B. 3. Awe Z. 20. Turton O. 2. Asiimwe N. 21. Cesay K. 18. Butcher M. 29. Garbutt L. (C) 30. Malcolm K. 23. Udoh D.
Substitutes
28. Conneely S. 14. Mols S. 1. Moulden L. (G) 38. O'Brien C. 33. Tutonda D.
4. Aimson W. 24. Allen T. 19. Graydon R. 12. Long S. (G) 35. Mariani P. 38. McMahon-Brown F. 14. Odoh A.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Cklamovski P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Grant C. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Udoh D. ⚽,
71', Warren C. ↓, Tutonda D. ↑,
71', Smith O. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
74', Butcher M. 🟨,
86', Henderson A. 🟨,
90', Malcolm K. ↓, Mariani P. ↑,
90+5', Udoh D. ↓, Graydon R. ↑,
90+8', 1 - 1, Tutonda D. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Garbutt L. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Mols S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Oluwo A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Brown C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cooper B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Anderson J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mariani P. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Woods J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Graydon R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Henderson A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
In recent outings, Accrington has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Salford shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Salford holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Accrington has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Accrington against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).
Outrights of English EFL Trophy for now
Salford: 1.89% Accrington: 0.64%
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.92%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
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Rogerson J. (G) 
Cooper B. 
Asiimwe N. 
Cesay K. 
Udoh D. 
Conneely S. 
Mols S. 
Tutonda D. 
Long S. (G) 
Cklamovski P. 
