Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY

Date: 7 November 2023, Tuesday


	Wrexham		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.55
	2.4	3.5	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.55	2.65
	2.48	3.55	2.65
	2.2	3.25	2.75
	2.38	3.52	2.66
	2.44	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.3)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	2.64 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
38.4%

Draw
26.8%

Port Vale
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

26%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Wrexham - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. McNicholas L. (G) 34. James A. 32. Cleworth M. 25. Boyle W. 17. Hosannah B. J. 11. McAlinden L. 8. Young L. (C) 7. Davies J. 39. Davies D. 27. Bickerstaff J. 16. Waters B.	13. Leutwiler J. (G) 30. Lomax B. 6. Smith N. (C) 27. Debrah J. 19. Massey G. 20. Conlon T. 24. Walters R. 28. Buah A. 44. Thomas J. 10. Chislett E. 9. Loft R.
Substitutes
45. Ashfield H. 35. Cushion O. 12. Evans G. 41. Hall L. (G) 30. Jones J. 23. McClean J. 10. Mullin P.	26. Brazier L. 32. Cousins L. 25. Dipepa B. 31. Mahaffy D. 22. McDermott T. 21. Plant J. 1. Ripley C. (G)
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Crosby A.

Preview

Wrexham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Port Vale is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
English League Two
28.10.23	Notts County - Wrexham	0:2 ✺
24.10.23	Wrexham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bradford City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Wrexham - Salford City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWTW
- Port Vale
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Port Vale - Burton Albion	0:0 ✺
English League Cup
31.10.23	Mansfield Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
English League One
28.10.23	Port Vale - Cheltenham Town	1:2 ✺
24.10.23	Port Vale - Peterborough United	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Stevenage Borough - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLLT

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