Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 16

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Notts County		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.75	2.7
	2.35	3.75	2.6
	2.35	3.75	2.7	Watch
	2.42	3.84	2.78
	2.4	3.89	2.78
	2.38	3.8	2.62
	2.34	3.86	2.66	Watch
	2.34	3.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.15)	3.79 ↑ (3.71)	2.69 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
39.8%

Draw
25%

Wrexham
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

25.2%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.9%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Notts County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wrexham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Notts County - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: Notts County will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Slocombe S. (G) 15. Baldwin A. 4. Cameron K. (C) 28. Macari L. 11. Nemane A. 6. O'Brien J. 18. Palmer M. 10. Jones J. 17. McGoldrick D. 7. Crowley D. 9. Langstaff M.	33. Okonkwo A. (G) 19. Mendy J. 12. Evans G. 4. Tozer B. (C) 22. O'Connor T. 23. McClean J. 30. Jones J. 20. Cannon A. 38. Lee E. 10. Mullin P. 18. Dalby S.
Substitutes
21. Adebayo-Rowling T. 8. Austin S. 25. Mahovo L. 14. Randall W. 5. Rawlinson C. 26. Stone A. (G) 33. Tipton O.	25. Boyle W. 7. Davies J. 26. Fletcher S. 14. Forde A. 21. Howard M. (G) 9. Palmer O. 8. Young L.
Coaches
Williams L.	Parkinson P.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Notts County won 2.

Recent matches Notts County is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wrexham is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Notts County won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Notts County won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League Two
24.10.23	Notts County - Newport County	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Gillingham - Notts County	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Notts County - Mansfield Town	1:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Notts County - Derby County	1:2 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Barrow - Notts County	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLT
- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
24.10.23	Wrexham - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Bradford City - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
14.10.23	Wrexham - Salford City	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.10.23	Crewe Alexandra - Wrexham	0:3 ✺
English League Two
07.10.23	Crawley Town - Wrexham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
10.04.23	Wrexham - Notts County	3:2
04.10.22	Notts County - Wrexham	1:0
English FA Trophy
11.03.22	Notts County - Wrexham	1:2
English National League
02.01.22	Notts County - Wrexham	3:1
30.08.21	Wrexham - Notts County	1:1
18.05.21	Wrexham - Notts County	0:1
02.04.21	Notts County - Wrexham	1:0

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