Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Adama City		Dire Dawa City

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.58	2.58
	2.95	2.47	3.08
	2.9	2.5	2.6
	3.27	2.41	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.47)	2.49 ↓ (2.75)	2.73 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adama City
30.1%

Draw
36.5%

Dire Dawa City
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

32.8%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adama City's form might have worsened.

Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adama City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Adama City - Dire Dawa City Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Adama City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dire Dawa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Abubakar S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 1, Yesouf A. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 1.

Adama City is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Dire Dawa has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Adama City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Adama City won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Adama City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Adama City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Adama City - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 36.48%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.04.26	Saint George - Adama City	1:0 ✺
14.04.26	Adama City - Ethio Electric	0:1 ✺
10.04.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Adama City	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
19.04.26	Sidama Coffee - Dire Dawa City	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Mechal	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Shire Endaselassie - Dire Dawa City	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.12.25	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:1
02.04.25	Adama City - Dire Dawa City	1:3
01.11.24	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:1
09.05.24	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:1
01.11.23	Adama City - Dire Dawa City	2:1
02.06.23	Dire Dawa City - Adama City	1:2
21.12.22	Adama City - Dire Dawa City	2:0

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