Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Adamstown Oval (Newcastle)


	Adamstown Rosebud		Charlestown Azzurri

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.9	1.95	Watch
	2.32	3.51	2.4
	2.77	4.02	2.15	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.4
	3.1	3.72	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↓ (3.28)	3.77 ↓ (4.04)	2.17 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adamstown Rosebud
34.1%

Draw
24.1%

Charlestown Azzurri
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

22.6%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

21.9%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adamstown Rosebud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Adamstown Rosebud's performance.

Charlestown Azzurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Charlestown Azzurri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adamstown Rosebud than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Adamstown Rosebud that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlestown Azzurri than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Charlestown Azzurri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Adamstown Rosebud - Charlestown Azzurri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adamstown Rosebud won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Charlestown Azzurri might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adamstown Rosebud won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Adamstown Rosebud won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adamstown Rosebud
Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.05.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Cooks Hill United - Adamstown Rosebud	3:1 ✺
29.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Lambton Jaffas	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Weston Bears	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLW
- Charlestown Azzurri
Australian NPL Northern NSW
10.05.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Broadmeadow Magic	3:5 ✺
02.05.26	Maitland - Charlestown Azzurri	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Charlestown Azzurri	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Belmont Swansea United - Charlestown Azzurri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
22.02.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Adamstown Rosebud	2:0
03.08.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Adamstown Rosebud	0:4
07.06.25	Adamstown Rosebud - Charlestown Azzurri	2:2
26.05.24	Charlestown Azzurri - Adamstown Rosebud	4:0
02.03.24	Adamstown Rosebud - Charlestown Azzurri	0:3
24.06.23	Adamstown Rosebud - Charlestown Azzurri	0:1
02.04.23	Charlestown Azzurri - Adamstown Rosebud	2:0

Adamstown Rosebud - Charlestown Azzurri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide