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Current Win Probability
Adelaide United 45.9%
Draw 25.6%
Brisbane Roar 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.6%
23.1%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.8%
22.2%
20.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adelaide United's form might have worsened.
Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brisbane Roar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adelaide United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Roar than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brisbane Roar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
18.2%
27.3%
Adelaide United - Brisbane Roar Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Adelaide will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Brisbane will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Adelaide: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Smits J. (G) 20. Pierias D. 3. Vriends B. 4. Kikianis P. 7. Kitto R. 10. Muniz J. 55. Alagich E. 23. Duzel L. 19. Dukuly Y. 9. Jovanovic L. 11. Goodwin C.
1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 12. Herrington L. 3. Valkanis D. 23. McGarry J. 10. Vrakas G. 26. O'Shea J. 77. Stajic M. 8. Klein S. 17. Vidic J. 19. Ruhs M.
Substitutes
87. Anselmo 14. Barnett J. 40. Cox E. (G) 65. Garuccio J. 62. Talladira F. 44. White R. 12. Yull J.
11. Freke M. (G) 13. Hore H. 44. Lauton J. 9. Long Ch. 6. Ludwik A. 30. MacNicol Q. 31. Maieroni N.
Coaches
Andrioli A.
Valkanis M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Valkanis D. 🟨,
39', O'Shea J. 🟨,
45+2', Ruhs M. 🟨,
45+6', Dukuly Y. 🟨,
45+6', Vidic J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Ruhs M. ↓, Long Ch. ↑,
47', Vrakas G. ↓, Lauton J. ↑,
60', Duzel L. 🟨,
63', Klein S. 🟨,
64', Vidic J. ↓, Hore H. ↑,
72', Muniz J. ↓, White R. ↑,
72', Duzel L. ↓, Garuccio J. ↑,
72', Goodwin C. ↓, Anselmo ↑,
81', Kitto R. ↓, Talladira F. ↑,
87', Dukuly Y. ↓, Yull J. ↑,
90+2', Kikianis P. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Long Ch. ⚽, Bouzanis D. (A),
90+6', Long Ch. 🟨,
90+8', Lauton J. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Adelaide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Adelaide could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N.
(Muscle Injury)
Bility H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ferkranus M.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Adelaide won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 1.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).
Asia
Australia
Finland
Hong-kong
India
Indonesia
Malaysia
Mongolia
New-zealand
Philippines
South-korea
Thailand
United-kingdom
Usa
Vietnam
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Smits J. (G) 
Pierias D. 
Muniz J. 
Alagich E. 
Salas Y. 
Vrakas G. 
O'Shea J. 
Stajic M. 
Anselmo 
Long Ch. 
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