Match Info

A-League - Round 6

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)

Referee: Evans S. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Brisbane Roar		Melbourne Victory

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.82	Watch
	2.32	3.45	2.82	Watch
	2.38	3.63	3.03
	2.68	3.52	2.49	Watch
	2.48	3.56	2.84	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.57)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)	2.79 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brisbane Roar
39.2%

Draw
26.8%

Melbourne Victory
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brisbane Roar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Brisbane will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brisbane: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 2 - 40%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Brisbane (1.75) (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Melbourne Victory (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Melbourne Victory (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Brisbane (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Melbourne Victory (votes: 7 - 46.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bouzanis D. (G) 2. Salas Y. 3. Valkanis D. 12. Herrington L. 23. McGarry J. 10. Vrakas G. 77. Stajic M. 26. O'Shea J. 8. Klein S. 17. Vidic J. 19. Ruhs M.	25. Duncan J. (G) 16. Inserra J. 15. Esposito S. 21. Roderick 2. Davidson J. 8. Valadon J. 27. D'Arrigo L. 14. Grimaldi M. 10. Genreau D. 23. Jelacic K. 19. Reec J.
Substitutes
11. Freke M. (G) 13. Hore H. 44. Lauton J. 9. Long Ch. 6. Ludwik A. 30. MacNicol Q. 31. Maieroni N.	11. Clarismario 29. Dragicevic O. 64. Mata J. 22. Rawlins J. 17. Velupillay N. 9. Vergos N. 50. Von Schrenk O. (G)
Coaches
Valkanis M.	Diles A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Klein S. ⚽, Vidic J. (A),
30', Valkanis M. 🟨,
31', Esposito S. 🟨,
31', Vidic J. 🟨,
35', Roderick 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grimaldi M. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
64', Vrakas G. ↓, Maieroni N. ↑,
64', Klein S. ↓, MacNicol Q. ↑,
64', Reec J. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
72', D'Arrigo L. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
72', Jelacic K. ↓, Velupillay N. ↑,
72', Ruhs M. ↓, Long Ch. ↑,
80', Inserra J. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
85', Vidic J. ↓, Hore H. ↑,
90+10', Genreau D. 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.

Recent performances by Brisbane have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melbourne Victory's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Brisbane: Amanatidis N. (Muscle Injury) Bility H. (Hamstring Injury) Burke-Gilroy A. (Foot Injury) Ferkranus M. (Muscle Injury) Halloran B. (Knee Injury) Long Ch. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:29. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Brisbane Roar - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.21%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League
22.11.25	Auckland FC - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Brisbane Roar - Newcastle Jets	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne City	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Wellington Phoenix - Brisbane Roar	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Brisbane Roar - Macarthur FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 TWTLW
- Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League
22.11.25	Sydney - Melbourne Victory	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Melbourne Victory - Melbourne City	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Perth Glory - Melbourne Victory	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne Victory	5:2 ✺
18.10.25	Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
01.03.25	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	1:1
09.11.24	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	2:0
20.04.24	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	0:0
03.03.24	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	3:2
29.04.23	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	0:1
06.01.23	Melbourne Victory - Brisbane Roar	0:1
29.10.22	Brisbane Roar - Melbourne Victory	0:0

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