Match Info

A-League Women - Round 10

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: No. 2 Sportsground (Newcastle)

Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Channel 10, Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	HOY TV
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Newcastle Jets		Adelaide United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.5	2.18
	2.86	3.87	2.2	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.1
	2.79	3.67	2.28	Watch
	2.8	3.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.18)	3.62 ↑ (3.39)	2.18 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Jets
32.8%

Draw
25.2%

Adelaide United
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

26.5%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

26.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Adelaide United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Newcastle Jets will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Leat A. (G) 23. Karipidis Z. 4. Prior N. 3. Cicco C. 7. Breier I. 10. Copus-Brown L. 6. Davis C. (C) 8. Dundas E. 18. Hoban S. 44. Brown K. 11. Lancaster C.	30. Melegh I. (G) 17. Tolland Z. 13. Tonkin E. 3. McNamara M. 2. Hodgson E. 5. Morgan S. 8. Condon E. 9. Zois P. 11. Hodgson I. (C) 23. Worts F. 10. Dawber C.
Substitutes
26. Allan J. 13. Allan L. 14. Ayres M. 30. Collins A. 12. Ritchie G. (G) 2. Wilson J.	22. Healy E. 21. Jenkins C. (G) 7. Makris E. 12. Rossi C. 15. Taranto A. 6. Taranto M.
Coaches
Hoyle S.	Tsiounis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Davis C. ⚽, Lancaster C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Dawber C. ↓, Healy E. ↑,
46', Hodgson I. ↓, Taranto A. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Healy E. ⚽, Hodgson E. (A),
63', Dundas E. ↓, Ayres M. ↑,
63', Zois P. ↓, Taranto M. ↑,
70', Worts F. ↓, Rossi C. ↑,
72', Brown K. ↓, Allan L. ↑,
72', Lancaster C. ↓, Allan J. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Rossi C. ⚽,
78', Condon E. ↓, Murray E. ↑,
82', Copus-Brown L. 🟨,
86', Copus-Brown L. ↓, Collins A. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 2.

Newcastle Jets has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Adelaide United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Adelaide United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Adelaide United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Jets won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:30. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Jets won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.9:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Jets Women
Australian A-League Women
16.01.26	Melbourne City - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
13.01.26	Sydney FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Newcastle Jets - Central Coast Mariners	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Perth Glory - Newcastle Jets	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Canberra United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWLLL
- Adelaide United Women
Australian A-League Women
17.01.26	Adelaide United - Melbourne Victory	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Sydney FC - Adelaide United	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Adelaide United - Central Coast Mariners	1:0 ✺
27.12.25	Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers	5:2 ✺
21.12.25	Perth Glory - Adelaide United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League Women
08.01.25	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	3:3
08.12.24	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:0
29.03.24	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	0:8
31.12.23	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	3:1
17.03.23	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	2:2
30.12.22	Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United	2:0
04.02.22	Adelaide United - Newcastle Jets	3:0

Newcastle Jets - Adelaide United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide