Match Info

A-League - Round 11

Date: 31 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Go Media Stadium (Auckland)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, myTV SUPER
Malaysia	SPOTV
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Auckland FC		Newcastle Jets

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.45	4.25	Watch
	1.59	4.75	4.66	Watch
	1.62	4.2	4.33
	1.68	4.49	4.72	Watch
	1.58	4.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	4.48 ↑ (4.02)	4.54 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auckland FC
58.3%

Draw
21%

Newcastle Jets
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auckland FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Newcastle Jets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auckland FC than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	5%	15%

Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Auckland (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Auckland FC will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Woud M. (G) 17. Elliot C. 23. Hall D. 3. Girdwood-Reich J. 15. De Vries F. (C) 6. Verstraete L. 8. Gallegos L. F. 77. Brook L. 10. May G. 21. Randall J. 9. Cosgrove S.	1. Delianov J. (G) 22. Bertolissio J. 42. Cooper M. 33. Natta M. 19. Badolato A. 17. Grozos K. (C) 8. Bayliss L. 14. Burgess M. 13. Taylor C. 7. Adams E. 9. Rose L.
Substitutes
35. Bidois J. 11. Francois M. 7. Howieson C. 4. Pijnaker N. 27. Rogerson L. 20. Sail O. (G) 2. Sakai H.	40. Baylis J. (G) 43. Bertoncello X. 45. Bracco C. 28. Dobson W. 11. Gibson B. 18. Mizunuma K. 5. Shaughnessy J.
Coaches
Corica S.	Milligan M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Badolato A. ↓, Dobson W. ↑,
7', 0 - 1, Rose L. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
12', Cooper M. 🟨,
13', 1 - 1, Randall J. ⚽,
16', 1 - 2, Dobson W. ⚽,
18', Brook L. 🟨,
21', Cooper M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Elliot C. ↓, Sakai H. ↑,
46', Taylor C. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
46', Adams E. ↓, Shaughnessy J. ↑,
54', Randall J. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,
65', Brook L. ↓, Bidois J. ↑,
65', Gallegos L. F. ↓, Howieson C. ↑,
75', Bertolissio J. 🟨,
76', Bertoncello X. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
79', Grozos K. 🟨,
79', May G. ↓, Francois M. ↑,
85', Delianov J. 🟨,
86', Bayliss L. ↓, Bracco C. ↑,
90+1', Dobson W. 🟨,
90+6', 1 - 3, Rose L. ⚽, Natta M. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

Auckland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newcastle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Auckland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Auckland is the team to beat.

There will not play in Newcastle: Fryer O. (Knee Injury) James N. (Knee Injury) Nassiep A. (Inactive) Wilmering D. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Newcastle: Bracco C. (Inactive) Nunes A. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Auckland won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Auckland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Auckland FC
Australian A-League
19.12.25	Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC	0:2 ✺
12.12.25	Central Coast Mariners - Auckland FC	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Auckland FC - Wellington Phoenix	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
22.11.25	Auckland FC - Brisbane Roar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLT
- Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League
26.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Macarthur FC	4:5 ✺
20.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Sydney	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle Jets	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Newcastle Jets - Melbourne City	0:1 ✺
29.11.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian A-League
29.11.25	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	1:2
09.03.25	Newcastle Jets - Auckland FC	1:1
29.11.24	Auckland FC - Newcastle Jets	2:0

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