Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense		Maranhão

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.82	3.08	4.93
	1.86	3.23	4.26	Watch
	1.75	3.14	4.8
	1.61	3.6	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.5)	3.21 ↓ (3.9)	4.76 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
52.3%

Draw
28.5%

Maranhão
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

23.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

23%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's form might have worsened.

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Maranhão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Ryan ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Moraes K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 3, Ryan ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, ASA is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ASA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D
30.08.25	Maranhão - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Manauara	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Manauara - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWW
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
30.08.25	Maranhão - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Central SC - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Maranhão - Central SC	2:1 ✺
10.08.25	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Maranhão - Tuna Luso Brasileira	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
30.08.25	Maranhão - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:0

Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide