Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 32

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Ofelia Rosenzuaig (Buenos Aires)


	Agropecuario Argentino		Ferrocarril Midland

	1	X	2
	2.10	2.82	3.80
	2.15	3.00	3.25
	2.20	3.00	3.15	Watch
	2.28	3.11	3.55
	2.23	3.04	3.51	Watch
	2.20	3.05	3.50
	2.17	2.90	3.82	Watch
	2.16	2.95	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.49)	2.98 ↑ (2.9)	3.49 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Agropecuario Argentino
42.4%

Draw
31.1%

Ferrocarril Midland
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

32.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

31.4%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ferrocarril Midland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Agropecuario Argentino - Ferrocarril Midland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acosta L. (G) 8. Aranda B. 9. Gagliardi A. 5. Gallucci S. 2. Lecanda T. 11. Mosqueira R. 6. Perez A. 4. Perez F. 3. Ramos M. 7. Ruiz Diaz D. 10. Vega J.	1. Leguiza M. (G) 4. Andrada I. 8. Camano J. 6. Casarico P. 2. Cepeda G. 11. Luna R. 7. Marin F. 3. Penepil M. 9. Perales J. 10. Roseti M. 5. Violini N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lecanda T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lecanda T. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
46', Perez F. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
54', Ramos M. 🟨,
60', Ruiz Diaz D. ↓, Auzqui C. ↑,
62', Marin F. ↓, Madalon V. ↑,
72', Vega J. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
72', Perales J. ↓, Cao R. ↑,
72', Camano J. ↓, Abruzzese M. ↑,
83', Madalon V. 🟨,
86', Andrada I. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
88', 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 14th and 6th in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Agropecuario is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Agropecuario has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Agropecuario Argentino - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Ferrocarril Midland - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.24%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.09.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Agropecuario Argentino	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWT
- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.09.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Tristán Suárez	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Güemes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Chacarita Juniors	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	San Martín de San Juan - Ferrocarril Midland	3:2 ✺
02.09.26	Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0

Upcoming Matches