The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferrocarril Midland 41.2%
Draw 33.7%
Tristán Suárez 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
33.3%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
32.4%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrocarril Midland than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+1%)
Ferrocarril Midland - Tristán Suárez Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bigo J. (G)
4. Aguilar B.
6. Baldi A.
10. Becker D.
8. Del Priore N.
5. Enrique M.
9. Gallo A.
7. Guillen M.
2. Guzman M.
3. Molina A.
11. Sanchez N.
Substitutes
13. Aquino S.
20. Beron J.
18. Conechny R.
15. Fernandez N.
16. Luayza M.
12. Mendive J. (G)
17. Noriega L.
14. Olguin M.
19. Ramirez S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Bigo J. 🟨,
22', Bulacio D. 🟨,
24', Cepeda G. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Andrada I. (Own goal),
41', Guillen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Camano J. ↓, Marin F. ↑,
65', Sanchez N. ↓, Luayza M. ↑,
65', Gallo A. ↓, Beron J. ↑,
70', Andrada I. ↓, Perales J. ↑,
73', Cepeda G. ↓, Porro E. ↑,
75', Becker D. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
80', Beron J. 🟨,
80', Luna R. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
80', Cao R. ↓, Borgogno T. ↑,
84', Molina A. ↓, Olguin M. ↑,
86', Beron J. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Ferrocarril is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ferrocarril has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Tristán Suárez - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.75%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.