Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Ajaccio		Dijon

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	4	Watch
	2.1	2.87	4
	2.1	3	3.8	Watch
	2.16	2.8	3.7
	2.18	2.92	4.29
	2.1	2.8	4
	2.18	2.99	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)	2.93 ↓ (3.03)	3.96 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
44.2%

Draw
32.1%

Dijon
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

31.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

20.6%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ajaccio - Dijon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 15).

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 3 (12.07%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Dijon has the most likely position - 8 (7.39%), has project points - 52, has currently - 16, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ajaccio will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
30.10.21	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
23.10.21	Ajaccio - Nancy	2:0 ✺
18.10.21	Nîmes - Ajaccio	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Ajaccio - Quevilly	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Bastia - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLL
- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
30.10.21	Dijon - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
23.10.21	Grenoble - Dijon	1:2 ✺
16.10.21	Dijon - Amiens	1:0 ✺
02.10.21	Le Havre - Dijon	2:0 ✺
24.09.21	Dijon - Valenciennes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
13.05.16	Dijon - Ajaccio	2:0
31.07.15	Ajaccio - Dijon	0:0
10.04.15	Ajaccio - Dijon	1:0
31.10.14	Dijon - Ajaccio	3:0
French Ligue 1
25.02.12	Ajaccio - Dijon	2:1

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