Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 12

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Mexico	Caliente TV
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Usa	beIN Connect, Tubi TV
World	Fanatiz


	Ajaccio		Metz

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.25	1.9	Watch
	3.8	3.2	2
	4	3.25	1.95
	4.55	3.26	1.99
	4.24	3.28	1.91	Watch
	4	3.25	1.91
	4.23	3.35	1.94	Watch
	4	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.35)	3.26 ↑ (3.26)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
22.7%

Draw
28.9%

Metz
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

29.3%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.8%	22.7%	45.5%

Ajaccio - Metz Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Metz will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 88. Bamba A. 31. Ayessa J. 12. Huard M. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 25. Anziani J. 11. Toure B. 22. Soumano M. 4. Barreto M. (C)	61. Sy P. (G) 38. Sane S. 39. Kouao K. 3. Udol M. (C) 8. Traore I. 36. Jallow A. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 14. Sabaly C. 7. Hein G.
Substitutes
9. Ibayi C. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 99. Santelli B. 23. Strata T. 5. Vidal C.	99. Asoro J. 2. Colin M. 31. Elisor S. 15. Lo A. 16. Oukidja A. (G) 12. Toure A. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.
Coaches
Chabert M.	Le Mignan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Sy P. ↓, Oukidja A. ↑,
30', 0 - 1, Hein G. ⚽,
38', Chabert M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Soumano M. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
56', Anziani J. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
57', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
72', Jabol-Folcarelli T. ↓, Puch-Herrantz M. ↑,
80', Toure B. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
81', Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↓, Mangani T. ↑,
83', Sabaly C. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
83', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
83', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Elisor S. ↑,
89', Ibayi C. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 7).

Ajaccio is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Metz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Metz is a favorite.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Kouassi A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Touzghar Y. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Guingamp - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Amiens - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ajaccio - Martigues	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
24.09.24	Ajaccio - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTLW
- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
29.10.24	Red Star - Metz	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Metz - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Grenoble - Metz	2:0 ✺
05.10.24	Metz - Amiens	3:2 ✺
28.09.24	Troyes - Metz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
25.01.19	Ajaccio - Metz	0:0
20.08.18	Metz - Ajaccio	3:1
11.03.16	Metz - Ajaccio	3:2
23.10.15	Ajaccio - Metz	0:1

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