The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajaccio 11.3%
Draw 20.6%
Rennes 68.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.8%
24.8%
57.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.8%
26.3%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rennes's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rennes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
27.3%
4.5%
68.2%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 12 - 27.3%). Rennes will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 54.4% – 82%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 18 (54.15%), project points - 25, currently - 23, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Rennes has the most likely position - 6 (51.94%), project points - 64, currently - 59, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality54, very small importance0, small match rating27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Rennes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Rennes is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
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