The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajaccio 24.3%
Draw 27.8%
Toulouse 47.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.3%
27.8%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
27.8%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.7%
20%
73.3%
Ajaccio - Toulouse Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 2 - 6.7%). Toulouse will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 57.5% โ 89.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (55.14%), project points - 26, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Toulouse has the most likely position - 13 (53.89%), project points - 48, currently - 41, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality51, very small importance0, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
Ajaccio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Toulouse is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ajaccio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Toulouse will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Ajaccio: Barreto M.
(Injury)
Cimignani Y.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Toulouse: Healey R.
(Knee Injury)
Nicolaisen R.
(Injury)
Last 16 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 14-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.
France
Serbia
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