Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 33

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	Amazon Prime Video
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Lille		Ajaccio

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	12	Watch
	1.28	5.5	11
	1.22	6.1	15
	1.27	5.5	11
	1.29	6	12
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.27	5.6	11.75	Watch
	1.28	6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.23)	5.68 ↓ (5.9)	12.47 ↓ (13.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
75.5%

Draw
16.9%

Ajaccio
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.7%	7%	16.3%

Lille - Ajaccio Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Ajaccio will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 64.1% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Lille has the most likely position - 5 (45.27%), project points - 68, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (3%), not chance of win league.

Ajaccio has the most likely position - 19 (58.63%), project points - 26, currently - 22, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 57, very small importance 6, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 5.

Lille is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajaccio has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lille is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Djalo T. (Knee Injury) Ounas A. (Injury)

There will not play in Ajaccio: Cimignani Y. (Injury) Touzghar Y. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lille won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
22.04.23	Auxerre - Lille	1:1 ✺
16.04.23	Lille - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Angers - Lille	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Lille - Lorient	3:1 ✺
18.03.23	Toulouse - Lille	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWW
- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 1
23.04.23	Ajaccio - Brest	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	Strasbourg - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
09.04.23	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:3 ✺
02.04.23	Clermont - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Ajaccio - Monaco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
26.08.22	Ajaccio - Lille	1:3
02.03.14	Ajaccio - Lille	2:3
05.10.13	Lille - Ajaccio	3:0
23.02.13	Ajaccio - Lille	1:3
06.10.12	Lille - Ajaccio	2:0
15.04.12	Lille - Ajaccio	4:1

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