Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 32

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Ajaccio		Saint-Étienne

	1	X	2
	4.2	3	2	Watch
	4	3	2.05
	4	3.1	2	Watch
	4.43	3.06	2.08
	4.44	3.06	2.05
	3.9	3.1	2
	4.16	3.14	2.03	Watch
	3.95	3.05	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.6)	3.06 ↑ (2.97)	2.03 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
22.8%

Draw
30.8%

Saint-Étienne
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

31.9%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

31.2%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Ajaccio - Saint Étienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 21. Avinel C. 5. Vidal C. 31. Strata T. 6. Mangani T. (C) 29. Sakhi H. 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 4. Barreto M. 11. Toure B. 18. Ibayi C.	30. Larsonneur G. (C) 5. Tardieu F. 21. Batubinsika D. 3. Nade M. 19. Petrot L. 6. Bouchouari B. 11. Cardona I. 29. Moueffek A. 14. Chambost D. 18. Cafaro M. 9. Sissoko I.
Substitutes
44. Escartin J. 33. Martinez-Jullien O. 1. Michel M. (G) 7. Nouri R. 3. Quemper S. 22. Soumano M. 9. Touzghar Y.	13. Bentayg M. 23. Briancon A. 26. Fomba L. 42. Green E. (G) 10. Mbuku N. 7. Monconduit T. 20. Rivera M.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Dall'Oglio O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', Bouchouari B. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Ibayi C. (Pen),
45+3', 2 - 0, Vidal C. ⚽, Barreto M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Toure B. ↓, Soumano M. ↑,
66', Batubinsika D. ↓, Briancon A. ↑,
66', Petrot L. ↓, Monconduit T. ↑,
66', Bouchouari B. ↓, Bentayg M. ↑,
67', Ibayi C. ↓, Touzghar Y. ↑,
80', Cafaro M. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
80', Bentayg M. 🟨,
84', Monconduit T. 🟥,
90+2', Sakhi H. ↓, Nouri R. ↑,
90+7', Nouri R. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.

Ajaccio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Saint-Étienne in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saint-Étienne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
06.04.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
01.04.24	Ajaccio - Auxerre	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Paris FC - Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Ajaccio - Annecy	1:3 ✺
04.03.24	Angers - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLL
- AS Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 2
06.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Valenciennes - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Bastia - Saint-Étienne	0:4 ✺
09.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Paris FC - Saint-Étienne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.10.23	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	0:0
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	0:1
08.07.17	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	2:0
Coupe De France
21.01.16	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	2:1 ET
French Ligue 1
17.05.14	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	3:1
11.08.13	Ajaccio - Saint-Étienne	0:1
24.04.13	Saint-Étienne - Ajaccio	4:2

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