Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 29

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Johan Cruijff Arena (Amsterdam) 🌤️ ...

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	16:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring, Voyo
Canada	15:00	Sportsnet+
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	SportKlub 10
Cyprus	22:00	Cablenet Sports 1
France	21:00	DAZN France
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 2
Germany	21:00	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	03:00	myTV SUPER
Indonesia	02:00	Kompas TV, Vidio
Israel	22:00	Sport 3
Italy	21:00	Como TV
Japan	04:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	21:00	Canal+, ESPN 2
Nigeria	20:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	22:00	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	21:00	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	21:00	Sport TV3
South Africa	21:00	SupeSport ESPN 2
Switzerland	21:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	22:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+
International	19:00	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Ajax		Twente

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.9	2.8	Watch
	2.32	3.7	2.85
	2.36	3.86	2.85
	2.27	3.79	2.86	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.75
	2.25	3.97	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	3.8 ↑ (3.72)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
41.6%

Draw
25%

Twente
33.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.3%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.9%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	52.6%	10.5%

Ajax - Twente Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Twente will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 52.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Paes M. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 2. Rosa L. 23. Berghuis S. (C) 24. Mokio J. 48. Steur S. 17. Edvardsen O. 25. Weghorst W. 11. Godts M.	1. Unnerstall L. (G) 28. van Rooij B. (C) 23. Lemkin S. 43. Nijstad R. 39. Rots M. 6. Zerrouki R. 14. Hlynsson K. 20. van den Belt T. 11. Rots D. 10. Lammers S. 27. Orjasaeter S.
Substitutes
67. Abdalla M. 30. Bouwman A. 7. Carrizo M. 9. Dolberg K. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 4. Itakura K. 19. Konadu D. 52. Reverson P. (G) 53. van der Lans M. 44. Verkuijl M. 5. Wijndal O.	8. Booth T. 38. Bruns M. 21. Karssies S. (G) 4. Kjolo M. 12. Peixoto G. 7. Pjaca M. 3. Propper R. 22. Tyton P. (G) 9. van Wolfswinkel R. 25. Vennegoor of Hesselink L. 32. Verschueren A. 42. Weidmann D.
Coaches
Garcia O.	van den Brom J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Zerrouki R. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Weghorst W. ⚽, Godts M. (A),
41', Edvardsen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Gaaei A. 🟨,
57', Edvardsen O. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
61', Rots D. 🟨,
63', Rots D. ↓, Pjaca M. ↑,
63', Gloukh O. 🟨,
64', Lemkin S. 🟨,
69', Berghuis S. 🟨,
71', Berghuis S. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
71', Weghorst W. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, van Rooij B. ⚽, Lammers S. (A),
85', van den Belt T. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
85', Orjasaeter S. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
89', Gaaei A. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
90', Hlynsson K. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
90', Lammers S. ↓, Propper R. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.

Ajax has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Twente is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Ajax: Itakura K. (Back Injury) Jaros V. (Knee Injury) Regeer Y. (Injury) Zinchenko O. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Tomiyasu T. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:24. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	29:13	16	21
4	Twente	10	6	2	2	19:10	9	20

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Ajax: 11.45% Twente: 6.55%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
22.03.26	Feyenoord - Ajax	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Groningen - Ajax	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Zwolle - Ajax	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWLTT
- FC Twente
Dutch Eredivisie
21.03.26	Fortuna Sittard - Twente	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Twente - Utrecht	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Go Ahead Eagles - Twente	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Twente - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Twente - Groningen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
26.10.25	Twente - Ajax	2:3
18.05.25	Ajax - Twente	2:0
10.11.24	Twente - Ajax	2:2
14.04.24	Ajax - Twente	2:1
17.09.23	Twente - Ajax	3:1
28.05.23	Twente - Ajax	3:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
09.02.23	Twente - Ajax	0:1

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