Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 1


	Ajax		PAOK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	4.1	3.6
	1.62	4.35	4.35	Watch
	1.71	4.3	3.87
				Watch
	1.68	4.45	4.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.41)	4.3 ↓ (5.05)	4.04 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
55.5%

Draw
21.6%

PAOK
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajax's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Ajax - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 60%). PAOK will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaros V. (G) 2. Rosa L. 3. Bouwman A. 4. Baas Y. 5. Wijndal O. 10. Berghuis S. (C) 6. Mokio J. 8. Fitz-Jim K. 7. Traore B. 9. Weghorst W. 11. Godts M.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 23. Sastre J. 16. Kedziora T. (C) 6. Lovren D. 32. Taylor G. 77. Despodov K. 2. Camara M. 8. Meite S. 47. Shoretire S. 9. Chalov F. 7. Konstantelias G.
Substitutes
18. Alders G. 28. Appiah A. 22. Bounida R. 19. Brobbey B. 17. Edvardsen O. 46. Jetten L. 15. Kaplan A. 12. Pasveer R. (G) 30. Reverson P. (G) 99. Setford C. (G) 21. Steur S. 36. Unuvar E. 27. van de Pavert R. 25. van der Vaart D. 16. Verschuren N. 61. Wolff K.	21. Baba A. R. 43. Balde M. 54. Balomenos K. (G) 97. Bataoulas D. 39. Berdos D. 52. Chatsidis D. 88. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 3. Kenny J. 90. Kottas D. 5. Michailidis G. 41. Monastirlis D. (G) 56. Mythou A. 27. Ozdoev M. 11. Taison 33. Tsopouroglou D. 14. Zivkovic A.
Coaches
Heitinga J.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Godts M. 🟨,
26', Baas Y. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Berghuis S. ⚽, Fitz-Jim K. (A),
35', Shoretire S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bouwman A. ↓, Kaplan A. ↑,
46', Baas Y. ↓, Verschuren N. ↑,
46', Jaros V. ↓, Pasveer R. ↑,
46', Wijndal O. ↓, van de Pavert R. ↑,
46', Fitz-Jim K. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
46', Weghorst W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
46', Rosa L. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
46', Mokio J. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
46', Berghuis S. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
46', Traore B. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
46', Godts M. ↓, Edvardsen O. ↑,
46', Pavlenka J. ↓, Gugeshashvili L. ↑,
46', Lovren D. ↓, Michailidis G. ↑,
46', Sastre J. ↓, Kenny J. ↑,
46', Shoretire S. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
46', Chalov F. ↓, Mythou A. ↑,
46', Despodov K. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
46', Konstantelias G. ↓, Taison ↑,
46', Taylor G. ↓, Baba A. R. ↑,
66', Camara M. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
66', Kedziora T. ↓, Bataoulas D. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Bataoulas D. (Own goal),
72', Meite S. ↓, Tsopouroglou D. ↑,
73', van de Pavert R. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Mythou A. ⚽, Balde M. (A),
83', Ozdoev M. 🟨,

Preview

No spectators.

Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ajax is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Ajax - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Ajax - Hibernian	6:3 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.05.25	Ajax - Twente	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Groningen - Ajax	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TWWTL
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
11.05.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Olympiacos Piraeus - PAOK	4:2 ✺
27.04.25	PAOK - Panathinaikos	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Panathinaikos - PAOK	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
13.08.19	Ajax - PAOK	3:2
06.08.19	PAOK - Ajax	2:2
03.08.16	PAOK - Ajax	1:2
26.07.16	Ajax - PAOK	1:1

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