Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj)

Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 5


	Akhmat Grozny		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.96	3.45	2.48
	3.11	3.41	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.21)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	2.45 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
32%

Draw
28.3%

CSKA Moscow
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

29.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 1 - 25%). CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - CSKA (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CSKA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ulyanov V. (G) 81. Sidorov M. 90. Ndong O. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 11. Silva I. 19. Pryakhin S. 20. Samorodov M. 17. Cacintura E. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 77. Melkadze G.	35. Akinfeev I. (C) 22. Gajic M. 4. Joao Victor 79. Danilov K. 2. Matheus Reis 6. Barinov D. 31. Kislyak M. 3. Krugovoy D. 18. Kozlov D. 17. Glebov K. 9. Gondou L.
Substitutes
2. Abdulkadyrov D. 37. Gadio P. 42. Keliano M. 23. Kenzhebek G. 82. Khlusevich D. 13. Konate M. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 9. Mansilla B. 88. Shelia G. (G) 40. Utsiev R. 22. Zare M. 10. Zhemaletdinov R.	67. Badmaev M. 52. Bandikyan A. 85. Besaev E. (G) 62. Firov I. 37. Henrique Carmo 90. Lukin M. 7. Matheus Alves 11. Musaev T. 20. Popovic M. 19. Ruiz D. 49. Torop V. (G) 97. Voronov M.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.	Celestini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Samorodov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
59', Kozlov D. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
60', Silva I. 🟨,
68', Kislyak M. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
68', Glebov K. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
71', Sadulaev L. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
71', Silva I. ↓, Gadio P. ↑,
82', Gondou L. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
82', Matheus Reis ↓, Popovic M. ↑,
82', Sidorov M. ↓, Abdulkadyrov D. ↑,
82', Pryakhin S. ↓, Khlusevich D. ↑,
90+4', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
90+4', Konate M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Akhmat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CSKA has had a series of home games.

CSKA could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 14:43. (average 0.7:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.7:2.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

CSKA Moscow: 6.69% Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19
13	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Club Friendly
18.02.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Akhmat Grozny - AGMK	3:2 ✺
29.01.26	Akhmat Grozny - Vardar	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Akhmat Grozny - OFK Beograd	3:0 ✺
13.01.26	Novi Pazar - Akhmat Grozny	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWL
- CSKA Moscow
Club Friendly
21.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
18.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Zenit - CSKA Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
06.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
27.07.25	CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:1
04.05.25	Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
22.10.24	CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:0
Russian Premier League
28.09.24	CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	3:0
Russian Cup
27.08.24	Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow	0:2
Club Friendly
13.07.24	CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	2:2
Russian Premier League
20.04.24	CSKA Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	1:2

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