Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Akhmat-Arena (Groznyj)

Referee: Cheban S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3


	Akhmat Grozny		Nizhny Novgorod

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.56	4.15
	1.96	3.68	4.27
	1.83	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.88)	3.5 ↓ (3.59)	4.06 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Akhmat Grozny
49.5%

Draw
27.1%

Nizhny Novgorod
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

21.2%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Nizhny Novgorod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Akhmat Grozny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nizhny Novgorod than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nizhny Novgorod could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Akhmat will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Nizhny Novgorod will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Shelia G. (G) 81. Sidorov M. 90. Ndong O. 5. Cake K. 8. Bogosavac M. 19. Pryakhin S. 11. Silva I. 20. Samorodov M. 17. Cacintura E. 7. Sadulaev L. (C) 77. Melkadze G.	30. Medvedev N. (C) 22. Kakkoev N. 4. Kirsch I. 25. Karic S. 70. Shnaptsev M. 29. Ticic L. 78. Kalinski N. 3. Koledin Y. 21. Cephas R. 10. Balboa A. 88. Lesovoy D.
Substitutes
2. Abdulkadyrov D. 27. Davlitgereev A. 37. Gadio P. 42. Keliano M. 23. Kenzhebek G. 82. Khlusevich D. 13. Konate M. 72. Magomedov Y. (G) 9. Mansilla B. 80. Tsarukyan V. 40. Utsiev R. 22. Zare M.	2. Aleksandrov V. 27. Grulev V. 77. Ivlev A. 51. Koshkin E. (G) 16. Krashevskiy Y. 1. Lukyanov V. (G) 8. Maiga M. 69. Sidorenko A. 17. Smelov E. 14. Urvantsev M.
Coaches
Cherchesov S.	Garanin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Melkadze G. 🟨,
44', Sadulaev L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lesovoy D. ↓, Sidorenko A. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Sadulaev L. ⚽,
60', 2 - 0, Cacintura E. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
64', Koledin Y. ↓, Ivlev A. ↑,
75', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
75', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
78', Silva I. 🟨,
85', Sidorenko A. ↓, Urvantsev M. ↑,
85', Cacintura E. ↓, Keliano M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 3.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Akhmat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Akhmat is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Akhmat: Ibishev T. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Akhmat won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Akhmat won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.6:1.6).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Akhmat Grozny: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Akhmat Grozny	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League
26.04.26	Zenit - Akhmat Grozny	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Spartak Moscow - Akhmat Grozny	3:1 ✺
11.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - Akhmat Grozny	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- FC Nizhny Novgorod
Russian Premier League
26.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Spartak Moscow	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Orenburg - Nizhny Novgorod	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Baltika Kaliningrad - Nizhny Novgorod	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
20.09.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Akhmat Grozny	1:2
26.04.25	Nizhny Novgorod - Akhmat Grozny	1:0
03.11.24	Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod	0:2
Russian Cup
19.09.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Akhmat Grozny	1:2
31.07.24	Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod	4:1
Russian Premier League
28.04.24	Akhmat Grozny - Nizhny Novgorod	5:1
14.08.23	Nizhny Novgorod - Akhmat Grozny	2:0

Upcoming Matches