Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Rostov		Khimki

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.97	4.47
	1.85	4.06	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)	4.02 ↓ (4.05)	4.44 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
53.3%

Draw
24.5%

Khimki
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.3%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Rostov - Khimki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rostov will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Khimki will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rostov: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) 40. Vakhania I. 3. Sako O. 55. Osipenko M. 87. Langovich A. 62. Komarov I. 15. Glebov D. 89. Saravia Salvia R. A. 7. Ronaldo 27. Komlichenko N. 9. Mohebi M.	87. Kokarev N. (G) 99. Orinho 26. Andjelkovic N. 25. Filin A. 72. Fernandez D. 32. Vera L. 80. Khosonov K. 18. Bakaev Z. 22. Mejia R. 9. Rudenko A. 91. Zabolotnyi A.
Substitutes
19. Bayramyan K. 28. Chernov E. 69. Golenkov E. 13. Hankic H. (G) 67. Ignatov G. 18. Kuchaev K. 4. Melekhin V. 71. Odoevski D. (G) 58. Shantaliy D. 10. Shchetinin K. 11. Sutormin A. 57. Zhbanov I.	17. Berkovskiy I. 77. Corredera A. 24. Farina E. 47. Guseynov R. 97. Magomedov B. 11. Mirzov R. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 8. Panchenko K. 7. Sadygov I. 5. Stepanov D. 13. Terekhov S.
Coaches
Karpin V.	Artiga F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Komarov I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Andjelkovic N. ↓, Farina E. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Osipenko M. (Pen),
70', Saravia Salvia R. A. ↓, Melekhin V. ↑,
72', Khosonov K. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Komarov I. ⚽, Osipenko M. (A),
76', 🟨,
77', Komarov I. ↓, Shchetinin K. ↑,
79', Vera L. ↓, Magomedov B. ↑,
79', Rudenko A. ↓, Corredera A. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Mirzov R. (Pen),
87', Mohebi M. ↓, Golenkov E. ↑,
87', Vakhania I. ↓, Zhbanov I. ↑,
87', Langovich A. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
89', Zabolotnyi A. ↓, Sadygov I. ↑,
90+4', Golenkov E. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rostov won 4.

Recent matches Rostov is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Khimki is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rostov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Rostov is a favorite.

There will not play in Rostov: El Askalany E. (Knee Injury) Mironov A. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rostov won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Rostov won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Cup
05.11.24	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.11.24	Dynamo Moscow - Rostov	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Rostov - Akhmat Grozny	2:3 ✺
Russian Cup
23.10.24	Rostov - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
19.10.24	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLLT
- FC Khimki
Russian Premier League
03.11.24	Fakel - Khimki	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	Khimki - Dynamo Moscow	3:4 ✺
Russian Cup
23.10.24	Orenburg - Khimki	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
19.10.24	Khimki - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Krasnodar - Khimki	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
02.10.24	Khimki - Rostov	3:2 penalties
13.08.24	Rostov - Khimki	3:1
02.04.24	Khimki - Rostov	0:1 penalties
Russian Premier League
19.03.23	Khimki - Rostov	0:1
31.07.22	Rostov - Khimki	1:0
14.05.22	Rostov - Khimki	2:1
08.08.21	Khimki - Rostov	1:1

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