Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki)

Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Russia	Match TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Rodina Moscow		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.72	2.93
	2.25	3.65	2.95
	2.34	3.67	3.01	Watch
	2.31	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.32)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
41%

Draw
26.4%

Akron Tolyatti
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

25.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rodina will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Akron will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 19. Tananeev D. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 3. Goglichidze L. 9. Maksimenko A. 8. Pozo I. 38. Musaev L. 17. Bakaev S. 10. Reyna Y. 77. Gharibyan A.	88. Gudiev V. (G) 13. Bardybakhin V. 26. Escoval R. 19. Bokoev M. (C) 21. Fernandez R. 22. Maradishvili K. 69. Dmitriev A. 80. Khosonov K. 15. Loncar S. 14. Zheleznov Y. 7. Benchimol
Substitutes
18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 95. Cissoko K. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 55. Krizan M. 71. Svinov I. (G) 99. Timoshenko I. 23. Ushatov K.	10. Arevalo K. 81. Bazilevskiy N. 8. Bistrovic K. 11. Dudu 24. Nedelcearu I. 71. Pestryakov D. 67. Platon N. 89. Popenkov D. 2. Rocha Y. 9. Tedic S. 32. Terekhovsky I. (G) 98. Volochay R. (G)
Coaches
Diaz J.	Blagojevic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽, Pozo I. (A),
17', Bardybakhin V. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Khosonov K. ↓, Bistrovic K. ↑,
46', Dmitriev A. ↓, Dudu ↑,
51', 2 - 1, Loncar S. ⚽, Fernandez R. (A),
59', Zheleznov Y. ↓, Arevalo K. ↑,
67', Bakaev S. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
67', Pozo I. ↓, Egorychev A. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Benchimol ⚽,
77', 3 - 2, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
77', Gharibyan A. ↓, Timoshenko I. ↑,
81', Maradishvili K. ↓, Bazilevskiy N. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Arevalo K. ⚽,
90', Maksimenko A. ↓, Dyatlov I. ↑,
90', Reyna Y. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
90+1', Benchimol ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Rodina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Akron has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Akron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Akron has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Rodina: Sokol A. (Injury)

There will not play in Akron: Pestryakov D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Rodina: Fishchenko R. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Rodina Moscow: 0.84% Akron Togliatti: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Akron Togliatti	10	1	5	4	11:19	-8	8
15	Rodina Moscow	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

Rodina Moscow - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.14%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Akron Tolyatti - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian Premier League
09.08.26	Zenit - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	5:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
31.07.26	Rodina Moscow - Rostov	2:4 ✺
25.07.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.26	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.5 WWLLL
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian Premier League
08.08.26	Lokomotiv Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rostov	0:4 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.08.26	Akron Tolyatti - Rubin Kazan	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Akron Tolyatti - Zenit	0:5 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Akron Tolyatti - Krylya Sovetov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.07.26	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:5
Russian FNL
03.03.24	Akron Tolyatti - Rodina Moscow	0:2
14.10.23	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	0:1
01.04.23	Rodina Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:3
11.09.22	Akron Tolyatti - Rodina Moscow	2:2

Upcoming Matches