Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Rostov Arena (Rostov)

Referee: Sukhoy A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3


	Rostov		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.09	3.46	2.4
	3.26	3.6	2.32	Watch
	4.4	4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.4)	3.69 ↓ (4)	2.13 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rostov
27.4%

Draw
26.6%

Spartak Moscow
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

23.2%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.1%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rostov's performance.

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartak Moscow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rostov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartak Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Rostov - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartak M will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yatimov R. (G) 4. Melekhin V. 78. Chistyakov D. 22. Semenchuk D. 7. Ronaldo 10. Shchetinin K. 8. Mironov A. 18. Kuchaev K. (C) 40. Vakhania I. 99. Suleymanov T. 9. Mohebi M.	98. Maksimenko A. (G) 83. Fernandes G. 3. Wooh C. 4. Djiku A. 27. Dmitriev I. 68. Litvinov R. 10. Marquinhos 18. Umyarov N. 5. Barco E. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 9. Ugalde M.
Substitutes
17. Ajasa I. M. 19. Bayramyan K. 34. El Askalany E. 67. Ignatov G. 62. Komarov I. 87. Langovich A. 71. Odoevski D. (G) 5. Prokhin D. 3. Sako O. 91. Shamonin A. 58. Shantaliy D. 57. Zhbanov I.	97. Denisov D. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 11. Garcia L. 35. Martins C. 24. Massalyga N. 62. Polekh P. 1. Pomazun I. (G) 7. Solari P. 40. Sorokin I. 91. Zabolotnyi A.
Coaches
Alba J.	Carcedo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Zobnin R. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
40', Djiku A. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Mohebi M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dmitriev I. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
55', Zobnin R. ↓, Denisov D. ↑,
57', Kuchaev K. ↓, Komarov I. ↑,
63', Semenchuk D. 🟨,
66', Semenchuk D. ↓, Sako O. ↑,
80', Barco E. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
81', Ugalde M. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
82', Ronaldo ↓, Ignatov G. ↑,
83', Suleymanov T. ↓, Langovich A. ↑,
83', Melekhin V. ↓, Shamonin A. ↑,
90', Garcia L. 🟨,
90+6', Yatimov R. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 2.

Rostov is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Spartak M is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Spartak M could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Rostov: Golenkov E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Spartak M: Babic S. (Knee Injury) Zorin D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Spartak M: Saus V. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rostov won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:35. (average 1.4:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Rostov won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Spartak Moscow: 15.08% FK Rostov: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Spartak Moscow	10	6	2	2	17:8	9	20
11	FK Rostov	10	3	2	5	11:17	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Spartak Moscow - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.65%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Rostov
Russian Premier League
05.04.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Rostov	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - Rostov	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Moscow	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rostov - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
04.03.26	Rostov - Dynamo Makhachkala	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLTL
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Cup
08.04.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
05.04.26	Spartak Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Orenburg - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
Russian Cup
18.03.26	Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.03.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	5:2
Russian Premier League
18.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	1:1
Russian Cup
18.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	1:2
30.07.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:2
15.05.25	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	1:2
Russian Premier League
06.04.25	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	0:3
Russian Cup
27.11.24	Rostov - Spartak Moscow	2:1

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