The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Moscow 64.1%
Draw 22.2%
Dynamo Makhachkala 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
22.5%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
21.7%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Spartak Moscow - Dynamo Makhachkala Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Spartak M (2.19) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Spartak M (votes: 1 - 50%). Dynamo Makhachkala (votes: 1 - 50%).
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pomazun I. (G) 88. Guziev E. 97. Denisov D. 2. Reabciuk O. 82. Khlusevich D. 28. Zorin D. 25. Prutsev D. 47. Zobnin R. (C) 27. Dmitriev I. 9. Ugalde M. 91. Zabolotnyi A.
27. Volk D. (G) 70. Paltsev V. 99. Alibekov M. (C) 5. Tabidze J. 22. Azzi M. 53. Gadzhiev S. 21. Dzhabrailov A. 10. Hosseinnejad M. 77. Sundukov T. 16. Mrezigue H. 28. Serderov S.
Substitutes
6. Babic S. 5. Barco E. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 4. Duarte A. 68. Litvinov R. 98. Maksimenko A. (G) 35. Martins C. 24. Massalyga N. 7. Solari P. 18. Umyarov N.
25. Agalarov G. 98. Budunov G. 47. Glushkov N. 33. Karabashev N. (G) 9. Magomedov R. 6. Moubarik M. 96. Pomeshkin K. 19. Zinovich K.
Coaches
Stankovic D.
Bidzhiev H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Dmitriev I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alibekov M. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
56', Denisov D. 🟨,
62', Serderov S. ↓, Agalarov G. ↑,
62', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Glushkov N. ↑,
65', Denisov D. ↓, Massalyga N. ↑,
65', Gadzhiev S. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
66', Ugalde M. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
76', Prutsev D. ↓, Umyarov N. ↑,
76', Khlusevich D. ↓, Martins C. ↑,
76', Zabolotnyi A. ↓, Litvinov R. ↑,
77', Dzhabrailov A. ↓, Moubarik M. ↑,
78', Zinovich K. 🟨,
85', Solari P. 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Agalarov G. (Pen),
90', Guziev E. 🟨,
90+4', Azzi M. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Litvinov R. ⚽, Zorin D. (A),
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Solari P. (Pen),
1, Agalarov G. (Pen),
2, Umyarov N. (Pen),
2, Magomedov R. (Pen),
3, Zorin D. (Pen),
3, Moubarik M. (Pen),
4, Litvinov R. (Pen),
4, Mrezigue H. (Pen),
5, Zobnin R. (Pen),
5, Paltsev V. (Pen),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Dynamo Makhachkala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Spartak M is the clear favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak M won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak M won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).