Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 33

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday

Location: Stadion Arsenal (Tula)

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)


	Arsenal Tula		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.79	3.27
	2.63	2.64	3.27
	2.6	2.83	3.06	Watch
	2.35	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.21)	2.8 ↓ (3.05)	3.15 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tula
36.7%

Draw
33.5%

Akron Tolyatti
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

30.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

30.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Tula's form might have worsened.

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Tula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Arsenal Tula - Akron Tolyatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Kokarev N. (G) 92. Barkov D. 31. Bolshakov K. (C) 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 70. Geloyan I. 13. Kaynov M. 24. Korotkov A. 88. Makarov A. 20. Okoronquo J. 21. Shevchenko E. 76. Sukhanov A.	1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 14. Bokoev M. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 21. Galoyan A. 9. Glushkov N. 10. Palienko M. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K. (C)
Substitutes
27. Arutyunov A. 1. Cherchesov S. (G) 71. Denisov A. 61. Golosov I. 73. Khabibov A. 9. Laykin M. 36. Levashov M. (G) 6. Levin V. 10. Matsukatov A. 4. Nduka I. D. 8. Popov A. 34. Vakulich A.	16. Akmurzin T. (G) 59. Bart R. 91. Boldyrev M. D. 20. Dimoski B. 70. Eldarushev A. 22. Galkin V. 18. Kilin A. 52. Konyukhov V. 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 71. Pestryakov D. 19. Sangare D. (G)
Coaches
Storozhuk A.	Tedeev Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Okoronquo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Barkov D. ↓, Popov A. ↑,
61', Ponce A. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
61', Chudin I. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
70', Danilin K. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
70', Glushkov N. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
71', Galkin V. 🟨,
78', Geloyan I. ↓, Vakulich A. ↑,
84', Palienko M. ↓, Dimoski B. ↑,
87', Dimoski B. 🟨,
89', Shevchenko E. ↓, Nduka I. D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
16.05.24	Leningradets - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
28.04.24	Arsenal Tula - Alania Vladikavkaz	3:3 ✺
24.04.24	Dynamo Makhachkala - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTT
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
16.05.24	Shinnik - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Akron Tolyatti - Dynamo Makhachkala	3:1 ✺
05.05.24	Tyumen - Akron Tolyatti	0:2 ✺
28.04.24	KAMAZ - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
24.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
28.07.23	Akron Tolyatti - Arsenal Tula	5:1
20.11.22	Akron Tolyatti - Arsenal Tula	0:0
30.07.22	Arsenal Tula - Akron Tolyatti	1:1

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