The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ural 36.9%
Draw 32.3%
Baltika Kaliningrad 30.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
30.1%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
31.1%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ural has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Baltika Kaliningrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Ural - Baltika Kaliningrad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
57. Selikhov A. (G) 2. Begic S. (C) 16. Italo 22. Beveev M. 43. Margasov T. 4. Bessmertniy S. 5. Egorychev A. 27. Chudin I. 42. Mosin E. K. 75. Sungatulin F. 20. Markov E.
67. Borisko M. (G) 2. Varatynov S. 4. Gassama N. 5. Osipov A. (C) 96. Mokhammad A. 10. Petrov I. 73. Petrov M. 17. Saus V. 22. Titkov N. 19. Pryakhin S. 91. Gil Hurtado B.
Substitutes
55. Ayupov T. 37. Bondarev V. 24. Filipenko E. 15. Ishkov I. 44. Malkevich V. 71. Mamin A. (G) 46. Mamin A. 18. Morozov N. 17. Sekulic M. 77. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 50. Voronov M. 14. Zheleznov Y.
14. Appaev K. 25. Bozov N. 70. Eldarushev A. 6. Isaenko O. 11. Kovalev Y. 81. Kukushkin I. (G) 99. Lisakovich V. 44. Lyubakov E. (G) 18. Nikishin K. 27. Ozdoev R. 9. Stefanovich I. 13. Terentjev D.
Coaches
Tomarov S.
Talalaev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, Margasov T. ⚽,
33', Italo 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Pryakhin S. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Mokhammad A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Bessmertniy S. ↓, Sekulic M. ↑,
54', Sungatulin F. 🟨,
61', Gil Hurtado B. ↓, Stefanovich I. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Sekulic M. (Pen),
63', Markov E. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
66', 2 - 3, Mokhammad A. ⚽,
71', 2 - 4, Osipov A. ⚽,
71', Petrov I. ↓, Isaenko O. ↑,
71', Titkov N. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
75', Mosin E. K. ↓, Ishkov I. ↑,
75', Chudin I. ↓, Zheleznov Y. ↑,
80', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
84', Sungatulin F. ↓, Ayupov T. ↑,
87', 2 - 5, Stefanovich I. ⚽,
89', Saus V. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural won 3.
Recent matches Ural is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Baltika in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ural won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Ural won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Baltika Kaliningrad - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.