Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Sepsi (Sfantu Gheorghe)

Referee: Kastrati V. (Kos)


	Sepsi OSK		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.6
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.73	3.7	4.75
	1.68	3.64	5.57
	1.67	3.72	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	4.89 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sepsi OSK
54.9%

Draw
26%

Aktobe
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

27.5%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepsi OSK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sepsi OSK's performance.

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.4%	11.8%	8.8%

Sepsi OSK - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: Sepsi OSK will win (27 of 34 users predict this - 79.41%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.82% – 93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Niczuly R. (C) 13. Ciobotariu D. 82. Ninaj B. 44. Balasa M. 20. Dumitrescu A. 6. Paun N. I. 21. Alimi I. 11. Stefanescu M. 5. Rodriguez J. 10. Matei C. 18. Safranko P.	1. Pokatilov S. (G) 6. Kasym A. 88. Yashin D. 77. Shomko D. (C) 20. China 5. Strumia L. 19. Raickovic M. 31. Tanzharikov A. 7. Baytana B. 93. Elder Santana 10. Samorodov M.
Substitutes
77. Aganovic A. 9. Damascan V. 22. Francisco Junior 98. Gedo H. (G) 8. Gheorghe I. 59. Kallaku S. 1. Moldovan D. (G) 30. Nistor A. 17. Oroian D. 25. Otelita B. 99. Rondon M. 97. Varga R.	3. Bessmertnyi D. 21. Filipovic A. 4. Gadrani L. 66. Ghnayem E. 99. Izotov R. 80. Kenesov A. 14. Kybyray Y. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 15. Niangbo A. 2. Rudoselskiy T. 9. Zhumabek A.
Coaches
Ciobotariu L.	Karpovich A.

Preview

1st leg.

Sepsi in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aktobe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sepsi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sepsi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sepsi to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Romanian SuperLiga
07.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Oţelul Galaţi	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Sepsi OSK - CSKA Sofia	4:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
31.07.23	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Sepsi OSK	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.07.23	Sepsi OSK - U Craiova 1948	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWWWW
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
06.08.23	Aktobe - Kairat	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Aktobe - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
30.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Aktobe	1:4 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
22.07.23	Aktobe - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLTWW

Upcoming Matches