Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 3 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Aktobe)

Referee: Farrugia Cann T. (Mlt)


	Aktobe		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	5.5	Watch
	1.52	3.9	5.5
	1.58	3.9	5.15
	1.57	4	5.5
	1.57	4.13	5.59
	1.54	4.1	6	Watch
	1.58	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)	4.03 ↑ (3.63)	5.61 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
60.1%

Draw
23.2%

Torpedo Kutaisi
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Aktobe - Torpedo Kutaisi Predictions

Users Predictions: Aktobe will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pokatilov S. (G) 6. Kasym A. 88. Yashin D. 77. Shomko D. (C) 20. China 5. Strumia L. 19. Raickovic M. 31. Tanzharikov A. 10. Samorodov M. 93. Elder Santana 7. Baytana B.	31. Kljajic F. (G) 3. Monteiro P. 16. Sandokhadze N. 5. Nadaraia T. 4. Chichinadze A. 7. Gigauri M. (C) 6. Akbari R. 27. Shergelashvili L. 8. Arabidze G. 20. Bugridze I. 14. Pantsulaia G.
Substitutes
21. Filipovic A. 66. Ghnayem E. 76. Izbasarov N. 99. Izotov R. 80. Kenesov A. 14. Kybyray Y. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 15. Niangbo A. 17. Umaev I. 9. Zhumabek A.	25. Chachua J. 2. Goglichidze S. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 11. Haydary O. 38. Kayke David 15. Kobuladze G. 13. Manjgaladze G. 37. Meparishvili A. (G) 21. Neto A. 29. Tshavanadze L.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Kean S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.

Aktobe in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Torpedo Kutaisi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aktobe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Aktobe have a series of guest games.

Recently Torpedo Kutaisi have a series of home games.

In this match Aktobe is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Aktobe to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
30.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Aktobe	1:4 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
22.07.23	Aktobe - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
15.07.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Aktobe	0:1 ✺
01.07.23	Makhtaaral - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWW
- Torpedo Kutaisi
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Aktobe	1:4 ✺
20.07.23	Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:2 penalties ✺
13.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo	2:2 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 penalties ✺
30.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Aktobe	1:4
UEFA Europa League
12.07.12	Aktobe - Torpedo Kutaisi	N/A

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