Match Info

KAZAKHSTAN: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 15 September 2023, Friday

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Pavlodar)

Referee: Abdullaev B. (Kaz)


	Aksu		Okzhetpes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.19
	1.75	3.25	4.33
	1.74	3.64	4.45	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.09)	3.4 ↑ (3.22)	4.34 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aksu
52.2%

Draw
26.8%

Okzhetpes
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

28.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aksu's performance.

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Okzhetpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aksu than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aksu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Okzhetpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Aksu - Okzhetpes Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Aksu will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Okzhetpes will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aksu: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Bryan 10. Karaman D. 92. Kobzar E. 16. Krasotin A. 7. Lima M. 3. Nikolic M. 5. Obilor F. (C) 93. Osuchukwu C. 33. Solovey A. 89. Suikaev A. 8. Zhaksybaev U.	13. Chagrov N. (G) 88. Bolov R. 20. Dimitrov S. 7. Drachenko M. 8. Gunchenko V. 15. Idrisov N. 6. Shamshi B. 14. Shamshi S. 18. Sovet S. 93. Tsyupa I. 30. Zhumakhanov S. (C)
Substitutes
18. Eskic N. 21. Golubnichi M. (G) 13. Iskakov D. 77. Kakimov A. 11. Marat D. 95. Mawutor D. 4. Nyrkov D. 70. Suley A. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 17. Turlybek M. 20. Zemko E.	9. Abzalov S. 10. Battalov A. 75. Dovgal A. (G) 21. Gubarev N. 16. Kalmyrza M. 17. Moldakaraev Z. 11. Sarsenov S. 94. Tatar B. 77. Tolebek M. 71. Zhumat D.
Coaches
Masudov V.	Ferapontov A.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Aksu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Okzhetpes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Aksu is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aksu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Aksu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aksu
Kazakh Premier League
27.08.23	Kyzylzhar - Aksu	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Aksu - Atyrau	4:1 ✺
13.08.23	Aksu - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
05.08.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aksu	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Aksu - Shakhter Karagandy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTLW
- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
26.08.23	Okzhetpes - Kaspiy Aktau	3:3 ✺
19.08.23	Shakhter Karagandy - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
12.08.23	Okzhetpes - Zhetysu	2:1 ✺
23.07.23	Tobol Kostanay - Okzhetpes	2:0 ✺
15.07.23	Okzhetpes - Kairat	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
08.04.23	Okzhetpes - Aksu	3:0
Kazakh First League
23.10.21	Aksu - Okzhetpes	3:1
04.07.21	Okzhetpes - Aksu	3:2

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