Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Centralnyj Stadion (Aktobe) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Romania	19:00	Prima Sport 1


	Aktobe		Sepsi OSK

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3	Watch
	2.35	3	2.95
	2.45	3	3.1
	2.45	3.1	3.05
	2.46	3.01	3.14
	2.49	3.02	3.05	Watch
	2.46	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.77)	3.04 ↓ (3.07)	3.06 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aktobe
38.6%

Draw
30.8%

Sepsi OSK
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30.2%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.1%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.

Sepsi OSK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sepsi OSK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sepsi OSK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.5%	17.4%	26.1%

Aktobe - Sepsi OSK Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Sepsi will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aktobe: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pokatilov S. (G) 6. Kasym A. 88. Yashin D. 77. Shomko D. (C) 20. China 19. Raickovic M. 5. Strumia L. 31. Tanzharikov A. 7. Baytana B. 93. Elder Santana 10. Samorodov M.	33. Niczuly R. (C) 13. Ciobotariu D. 44. Balasa M. 82. Ninaj B. 20. Dumitrescu A. 21. Alimi I. 5. Rodriguez J. 6. Paun N. I. 10. Matei C. 11. Stefanescu M. 18. Safranko P.
Substitutes
3. Bessmertnyi D. 21. Filipovic A. 4. Gadrani L. 66. Ghnayem E. 76. Izbasarov N. 99. Izotov R. 14. Kybyray Y. 41. Lobantsev M. (G) 55. Mambetzhanov A. (G) 15. Niangbo A. 2. Rudoselskiy T. 9. Zhumabek A.	77. Aganovic A. 9. Damascan V. 22. Francisco Junior 98. Gedo H. (G) 8. Gheorghe I. 59. Kallaku S. 1. Moldovan D. (G) 30. Nistor A. 17. Oroian D. 25. Otelita B. 99. Rondon M. 97. Varga R.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Ciobotariu L.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Aktobe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sepsi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sepsi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aktobe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
13.08.23	Aksu - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
06.08.23	Aktobe - Kairat	4:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Aktobe - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
30.07.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTWLT
- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Aktobe	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
07.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Oţelul Galaţi	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Sepsi OSK - CSKA Sofia	4:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
31.07.23	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	CSKA Sofia - Sepsi OSK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Sepsi OSK - Aktobe	1:1

Upcoming Matches