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Current Win Probability
Zhetysu 27.8%
Draw 29.5%
Aktobe 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
27.6%
37.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
27.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zhetysu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zhetysu's form might have worsened.
Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zhetysu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Zhetysu - Aktobe Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
88. Sicaci S. (G) 4. Kashken D. 15. Pajovic J. 3. Luna D. 11. Dobay A. 10. Mosiashvili T. 7. Muzhikov S. (C) 23. Baltabekov A. 9. Abzalov S. 77. Anuarbekov N. 90. Jovanovic S.
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 23. Erlanov T. 18. Ordets I. (C) 27. Dosmagambetov T. 14. Pibe 20. Zhukov G. 6. Atanasov J. 12. Topalov D. 77. Zaria G. 10. Zeljkovic A.
Substitutes
8. Adakhadziev A. 31. Akhmetov A. 20. Anuarbek S. 2. Aslan R. 1. Egorov A. (G) 30. Ertis S. 50. Larin D. 17. Nurbol N. 5. Orynbassar R. 21. Zhakipbayev M. 27. Zivanovic M.
21. Alvarez P. 5. Kairov B. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 83. Korganbaev P. (G) 4. Kusyapov T. 19. Laturnus V. 3. Mitrovic D. 22. Seydakhmet E. 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G)
Coaches
Nurdauletov K.
Tarkovic S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
19', Jovanovic S. ↓, Adakhadziev A. ↑,
37', Anuarbekov N. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Baltabekov A. ⚽, Mosiashvili T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhukov G. ↓, Kairov B. ↑,
46', Pibe ↓, Kenzhegulov A. ↑,
46', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
64', Abzalov S. ↓, Zhakipbayev M. ↑,
65', Anuarbekov N. ↓, Zivanovic M. ↑,
65', Kashken D. ↓, Nurbol N. ↑,
73', Mosiashvili T. 🟨,
83', Muzhikov S. ↓, Orynbassar R. ↑,
84', Zaria G. ↓, Toregali N. ↑,
84', Topalov D. ↓, Mitrovic D. ↑,
86', Adakhadziev A. 🟨,
90', Luna D. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 2.
Recent form of Zhetysu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Aktobe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Recently, Aktobe has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zhetysu won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Zhetysu won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.6:1.4).