Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Okzhetpes Stadium (Kokshetau)

Referee: Zatula A. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Sport+


	Okzhetpes		Aktobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.2	2.52	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.63
	2.42	3.16	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.61	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.24)	3.18 ↓ (3.22)	2.62 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Okzhetpes
36.2%

Draw
28.8%

Aktobe
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Okzhetpes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aktobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	30.8%	46.2%

Okzhetpes - Aktobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Okzhetpes will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Aktobe will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aktobe: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Aktobe (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (2.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aktobe will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Okzhetpes (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Aktobe (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Lobantsev M. (G) 63. Kuzmichev I. 5. Leo Assunpcao 3. Lototskyi B. 14. Mukanov S. 17. Nurymbet A. 9. Borodin D. 47. Vasiljev V. 8. Buribaev N. 19. Omirtaev O. (C) 91. Abdumannonov B.	16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 23. Erlanov T. 18. Ordets I. (C) 27. Dosmagambetov T. 31. Tanzharikov A. 20. Zhukov G. 10. Zeljkovic A. 80. Kenesov A. 14. Pibe 11. Shushenachev A. 19. Laturnus V.
Substitutes
67. Atykhanov R. 20. Ensebaev M. 1. Golubnichiy M. (G) 55. Mikhailov N. 6. Mukhametkhanov Z. 10. Nurgaliyev E. 16. Shamshi B. 77. Sovpel V. 7. Vomenko V. 2. Zhaksylykov Z. 11. Zhangylyshbay T. 4. Zyabko V.	42. Baydavletov A. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 52. Kusainov S. (G) 4. Kusyapov T. 17. Nani 12. Topalov D. 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G)
Coaches
Alyuetov R.	Tarkovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', Leo Assunpcao 🟨,
22', Dosmagambetov T. 🟨,
28', Erlanov T. 🟨,
31', Kenesov A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Abdumannonov B. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Laturnus V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mukanov S. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,
52', Erlanov T. ↓, Kusyapov T. ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Laturnus V. ⚽, Zhukov G. (A),
66', Omirtaev O. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
66', Abdumannonov B. ↓, Nurgaliyev E. ↑,
66', Buribaev N. ↓, Mukhametkhanov Z. ↑,
68', Pibe ↓, Topalov D. ↑,
68', Zeljkovic A. ↓, Nani ↑,
76', Kusyapov T. 🟨,
86', Kenesov A. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
90+4', Zarutskiy A. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Lototskyi B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 1.

Okzhetpes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Aktobe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Aktobe has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Okzhetpes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.5:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Okzhetpes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Okzhetpes	26	13	6	7	41:35	6	45
5	Aktobe	26	12	6	8	38:31	7	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League
22.05.26	Altai Semey - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Okzhetpes - Astana	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Okzhetpes - Atyrau	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kyzylzhar - Okzhetpes	0:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
29.04.26	Okzhetpes - Zhenis	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWTWL
- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
23.05.26	Aktobe - Kyzylzhar	0:0 ✺
17.05.26	Aktobe - Atyrau	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Aktobe - Altai Semey	1:2 penalties ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.05.26	Aktobe - Kaisar	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Ordabasy - Aktobe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
17.08.25	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	2:1
17.05.25	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	1:3
22.10.23	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	1:1
09.03.23	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	5:1
20.10.19	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	1:2
27.07.19	Okzhetpes - Aktobe	4:0
12.05.19	Aktobe - Okzhetpes	0:2

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