Match Info

King Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 2
Asia	JACO Middle East, SPOTV Asia
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, SporTV 2
Croatia	SportKlub 3
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	SPOTV
Italy	Como TV
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	FOX One
Mongolia	SPOTV
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 2
Philippines	SPOTV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
South-korea	SPOTV
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	SPOTV, True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Vietnam	SPOTV


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Al-Hilal

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.05
	2.92	3.25	2.15
	2.95	3.41	2.4
	2.77	3.22	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.3
	3.04	2.9	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (3.23)	3.25 ↑ (2.83)	2.29 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
31.9%

Draw
28.1%

Al-Hilal
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

32.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

32.6%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Al Ahli Jeddah - Al Hilal Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (C) 27. Majrashi A. 46. Hamidou R. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 79. Kessie F. 10. Millot E. 6. Atangana V. 7. Mahrez R. 17. Toney I. 13. Galeno	37. Bono (G) 24. Al Harbi M. 78. Lajami A. 3. Koulibaly K. 19. Hernandez T. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 8. Neves R. 28. Kanno M. 10. Malcom 90. Benzema K. 29. Al Dawsari S. (C)
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 49. Abdullah S. 29. Abdulrahman M. 9. Al Buraikan F. 30. Al Johani Z. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 77. Ricardo Mathias 5. Sulaiman M.	55. Al Dawood M. 31. Al-Ghamdi R. 18. Al Hawsawi M. 44. Al Mutairi S. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 39. Al-Zaid M. 70. Bouabre S. 14. Darisi A. 23. Mandash S. 9. Marcos Leonardo 75. Meite M. 87. Tambakti H.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Inzaghi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Hernandez T. ⚽, Benzema K. (A),
44', Majrashi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Lajami A. ↓, Tambakti H. ↑,
69', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟨,
75', Tambakti H. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Al Harbi M. ↓, Darisi A. ↑,
89', Millot E. ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
90+2', Ibanez 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
97', Benzema K. ↓, Marcos Leonardo ↑,
97', Malcom ↓, Mandash S. ↑,
98', Majrashi A. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,
110', Kanno M. ↓, Al Hawsawi M. ↑,
110', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Bouabre S. ↑,
119', Mahrez R. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
120', Matheus Goncalves ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Toney I. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Neves R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kessie F. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Marcos Leonardo (Penalty Awarded),
3, Galeno (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mandash S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Al Johani Z. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hernandez T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Al-Hilal might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 27:39. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
13.03.26	Al-Qadisiya - Al-Ahli Jeddah	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	3:1 ✺
26.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
23.02.26	Damac - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Najma	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW
- Al-Hilal Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
14.03.26	Al Fateh - Al-Hilal	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Najma	4:0 ✺
27.02.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Hilal	3:5 ✺
24.02.26	Al-Taawoun - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
02.02.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:0
19.09.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	3:3
AFC Champions League
29.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:3
Saudi Professional League
28.02.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3
05.10.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	1:2
Saudi Super Cup
13.08.24	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:1 penalties
Saudi Professional League
06.05.24	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	1:2

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