Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Referee: Al Jassim A. (Qat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bangladesh	T Sports
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Cote-d-ivoire	RTI 1
Croatia	SportKlub 7
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Germany	Sportdigital+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Canal+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Portugal	Canal 11
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 7, SportKlub 7
Singapore	meWATCH
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
United-arab-emirates	Abu Dhabi Sports 1, Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	5.5	7.5	Watch
	1.37	5	7	Watch
	1.4	5.36	7.57
	1.38	5.27	7.25
	1.3	5	7.5	Watch
	1.37	5.15	7.9	Watch
	1.37	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.47)	5.18 ↑ (5)	7.39 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
69.1%

Draw
18.1%

Kawasaki Frontale
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

19.2%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

18.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Al-Ahli (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Ahli (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (G) 27. Majrashi A. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 77. Alioski E. 30. Al Johani Z. 79. Kessie F. 7. Mahrez R. 10. Roberto Firmino (C) 13. Galeno 99. Toney I.	98. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 5. Sasaki A. 2. Takai K. 35. Maruyama Y. 13. Miura S. 77. Yamamoto Y. 19. Kawahara S. 41. Ienaga A. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 9. Erison
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 9. Al Buraikan F. 11. Alexsander 14. Al Muwallad E. 8. Al Nabit S. 19. Al Rashidi F. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 32. Dams M. 46. Hamidou R. 5. Sulaiman M. 24. Veiga G. 31. Yaslam S.	21. Ando S. (G) 44. Haydar C. 37. Ito T. 1. Jung Sung-Ryong (G) 32. Kanda S. 16. Ozeki Y. 30. Segawa Y. 8. Tachibanada K. 15. Tanabe S. 31. van Wermeskerken S. 20. Yamada S. 26. Yamauchi H.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Galeno ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
42', 2 - 0, Kessie F. ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
42', Miura S. ↓, van Wermeskerken S. ↑,
44', Demiral M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Erison ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
65', Yamamoto Y. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
65', Ienaga A. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
74', Roberto Firmino ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
74', Galeno ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
84', Kawahara S. ↓, Yamauchi H. ↑,
85', Al Johani Z. 🟨,
85', Al Johani Z. ↓, Alexsander ↑,
90+1', Mendy E. 🟨,
90+5', Mahrez R. ↓, Al Rashidi F. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Ahli has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kawasaki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kawasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Al-Ahli is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League
29.04.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:3 ✺
26.04.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Buriram United	3:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
22.04.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Ahli Jeddah	2:3 ✺
18.04.25	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Feiha	5:0 ✺
11.04.25	Al Raed - Al-Ahli Jeddah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- Kawasaki Frontale
AFC Champions League
30.04.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Kawasaki Frontale	2:3 ✺
27.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Al-Sadd	3:2 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
20.04.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWTLT

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