Match Info

Stars League - Round 31

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday


	Al-Naft		Al-Hudood

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	6
	1.52	3.68	6.32
	1.51	3.67	6.44
	1.47	3.7	6.72
	1.52	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.4)	3.65 ↓ (3.98)	6.3 ↓ (7.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Naft
60.5%

Draw
25%

Al-Hudood
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

22.8%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Al-Hudood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hudood than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Al Naft - Al Hudood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Kareem W. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Yaseen S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 2.

Al-Naft is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Al-Hudood is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Naft may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Hudood has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Naft is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Al-Naft won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Al-Naft won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League
27.04.25	Al-Karkh - Al-Naft	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Al-Naft - Al-Talaba	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Arbil - Al-Naft	2:3 ✺
10.04.25	Al-Naft - Diyala	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Al-Naft - Al-Karma	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TTWWT
- Al-Hudood SC
Iraqi Premier League
28.04.25	Al-Hudood - Newroz	1:2 ✺
23.04.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Karkh	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Duhok - Al-Hudood	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Al-Hudood - Arbil	0:1 ✺
03.04.25	Al-Hudood - Al-Talaba	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
28.10.24	Al-Hudood - Al-Naft	0:1
22.04.24	Al-Hudood - Al-Naft	1:2
04.11.23	Al-Naft - Al-Hudood	0:2
18.03.23	Al-Hudood - Al-Naft	4:1
14.10.22	Al-Naft - Al-Hudood	1:2
04.03.20	Al-Naft - Al-Hudood	1:0

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